Report

Sailing masterclass amid stormy seas

The company has posted better than expected FY20 results, with net cash closing July at a robust £27.3m (pre IFRS16 lease liabilities & including the benefit of £13.8m non-recourse off balance sheet financing) compared to -£24.8m LY (ED Est £20m). Driven by £10.3m of deferred VAT payments (payable Apr’22), improved contractor terms (£8.5m - permanent), a working capital unwind (£16.3m) & lower debtor days (41 vs 45 LY).

This leaves the business ‘covenant free’ & ideally placed to increase profits as the recovery gains traction. With a high proportion of incremental NFI falling straight to the bottom line, due to continued tight cost control (£4m annualised savings), more efficient processes (Improvement Plan) and positive operating leverage.

FY20 NFI & adjusted PBT both declined -21.4% and -60.7% respectively to £54.3m (£69.1m LY) and £4.6m (£11.6m). Reflecting uncertainties created by the General Election, Brexit, proposed new IRS35 rules and latterly the pandemic (including a prudent £2.3m bad debt provision). Partly offset by a 13% contraction in overheads, thanks to restructuring (£1.7m), lower headcount (665 vs 739), furlough assistance (£1.5m) and a temporary group-wide 20% salary cut (£1.1m).

We have held our FY21 numbers - corresponding to trough adjusted EBIT and EPS estimates of £1.25m and 1.1p. With most of the heavy lifting already completed, and assuming things go to plan, we raise our valuation from 130p to 140p/share.
Underlyings
Adecco Group AG

Adecco Group provides human resource services, including temporary staffing, permanent placement, outsourcing, consulting and outplacement. Co. has more than 5,500 branches in over 60 countries and territories. Co.'s Office and Industrial businesses offer a range of general staffing services, including temporary staffing, permanent placement, assessment, training and integrated human resources applications. In addition, Co. operates professional business lines, which include Adecco Finance & Legal, Adecco Engineering & Technical, Adecco Information Technology, Adecco Medical & Science, Adecco Sales, Marketing & Events and Adecco Human Capital Solutions.

Gattaca

Gattaca is an engineering and technology recruitment solutions company. Co. operates in the STEM markets (science, technology, engineering and maths), all sectors with skills shortages. Co. has three reporting segments, Engineering, Technology and International. Co.'s brands are Matchtech, an engineering recruitment specialist; Networkers, a technology recruitment specialist; Cappo, Provanis, Barclay Meade, a professional services brand, recruiting finance, procurement, sales and HR professionals., and Alderwood, which is involved in placing trainers and assessors with training providers throughout the U.K. and the Middle East.

Randstad NV

Randstad is a global staffing and recruitment company, providing various solutions in the human resources (HR) services space. Co.'s services include regular temporary staffing and permanent placement of candidates. In addition, Co. provides several other HR solutions, such as Recruitment Process Outsourcing (RPO), Managed Services Programs (MSP), payroll services, and outplacement. Co. provides four distinct service concepts: Staffing, Inhouse Services, Professionals and HR Solutions.

Staffline Group

Staffline Group is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, Co. is engaged in the provision of recruitment and outsourced human resource services to industry and services in the welfare to work arena. Co. has two operating segments: Staffing Services and PeoplePlus. The Staffing Services segment provides labour solutions in agriculture, food processing, manufacturing, e-retail, driving and the logistics sectors in the U.K., Eire and Poland. The PeoplePlus segment is a provider to both Central and Local Government, providing a range of services to help and support in the Employability (Welfare to Work), Communities and Skills arenas.

Provider
Equity Development
Equity Development

​Equity Development enables companies to become better understood and supported by investors. Since our launch in 1996 we have consistently focused on helping our clients improve their communication and relationships with both existing and potential shareholders. Our clients have come from a wide variety of sectors and domiciles, are both private and quoted and range in size from micro-cap to $multi-billions. We offer free access to company research notes written by experienced analysts. These notes include detailed forecasts, financial models and a fair value. We host regular Private Investor Forums at which investors have the opportunity to hear company directors present, and to ask questions. These are free to attend. We broadcast live Webinars with company management that include active Q&A. We also make the recordings available online. We arrange face to face meetings between private investors and company management. We are active users of Twitter, commenting daily on company news, share price moves, Directors’ Dealings, Equity Development Research Notes & Events.

Analysts
Paul Hill

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