Report
Caroline Gulliver

AG Barr - Brand-led, cash-generative and acquisitive (initiation)

AG Barr is a leading UK beverage producer with a clear strategy for growth across its multi-brand portfolio including IRN-BRU, Rubicon and Boost. Revenue growth has reaccelerated to 5% in H226 and, with high operating margins of c.15% and excellent cash conversion, the group is well placed to grow organically and through acquisition.

As recently announced, the group has acquired the complementary brands Fentimans and Frobishers for a combined £51m, adding potentially c.10% to group revenues.

In this detailed report we review the attractive investment thesis for AG Barr and conclude that successful execution of management’s strategy will drive a further rerating.

We initiate coverage with an 800p Fair Value estimate, equating to 1.7x EV / Revenues, c.16x PER and a c.4.5% FCF yield (cal 2027).
Underlying
A.G. Barr PLC

A.G. Barr is engaged in the manufacture, distribution and sale of soft drinks. Co. operates in three segments: carbonates, still drinks and water, and other (including Funkin cocktail, ice-cream and other soft drinks). Co.'s brands include IRN-BRU, Rubicon, Strathmore, Funkin, Barr Flavors, KA, and Tizer, and its partnership brands include Rockstar and Snapple.

Provider
Equity Development
Equity Development

​Equity Development enables companies to become better understood and supported by investors. Since our launch in 1996 we have consistently focused on helping our clients improve their communication and relationships with both existing and potential shareholders. Our clients have come from a wide variety of sectors and domiciles, are both private and quoted and range in size from micro-cap to $multi-billions. We offer free access to company research notes written by experienced analysts. These notes include detailed forecasts, financial models and a fair value. We host regular Private Investor Forums at which investors have the opportunity to hear company directors present, and to ask questions. These are free to attend. We broadcast live Webinars with company management that include active Q&A. We also make the recordings available online. We arrange face to face meetings between private investors and company management. We are active users of Twitter, commenting daily on company news, share price moves, Directors’ Dealings, Equity Development Research Notes & Events.

Analysts
Caroline Gulliver

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