Report

Beats on both top and bottom lines

Vp is a specialist rental business providing equipment and services to a wide range of markets including civil engineering, rail, oil/gas exploration, construction, outdoor events and industry, primarily within the UK, but also from overseas.
The UK construction industry ploughs ahead unabated. Building the 100ks of new homes the country desperately needs, together with updating often capacity constrained & dilapidated infrastructure (eg rail, power, water, airports, etc). Secular trends that should endure irrespective of Brexit. Indeed the Construction Products Association (CPA) reckon that despite a weak Q1’18 (-2.7%), UK building output will expand on average at 1.0% for the following 3 quarters (0.1% FY), before accelerating to 2.7% and 1.9% in 2019 and 2020.
So we remain confident that Vp will continue to outperform over the cycle. Indeed the firm’s ‘tried & tested’ approach of focusing on renting specialist equipment, complemented by flawless execution and synergistic M&A - enabled it to post exemplary results once again this morning. FY18 revenues, adjusted PBT, EPS and dividends all climbed to £303.6m (+22.1%), £40.6m (+16%, ED £39.2m), 81.8p (+18%) and 26p (+18%) respectively. Propelled by an “excellent” performance in the UK, where EBIT rose 20% to £43m – representing almost 98% (95% LY) of the business – on revenues 24% up at £272.0m (margin 15.8%).
Furthermore from a macro perspective, the leading operators seem to be expanding faster than the pack. Here the top 5 groups, who possess an approx 31% share, generate greater economies of scale. Enabling them to not only invest in the latest equipment/technology (eg remote diagnostic, safety enhancements), but also provide 24-7 national, same-day breakdown cover.
A 2-pronged strategy which paid off handsomely in FY18, as Vp was able to purchase Brandon Hire in November for £68.8m (biggest ever acquisition) at reasonable 2016 EV/EBITDA, EV/EBIT and EV/Book (debt/cash free) multiples of 5.6x, 11.5x and 1.9x.
At 940p, investors can access this double digit growth at a current year (CY) PEG of 0.6x. Indeed we have nudged up both our forecasts and valuation to 1,070p/share (vs 970p before) – on the back of the “outstanding” FY18 out-turn and enhanced competitive position within tool hire.
Underlyings
United Rentals Inc.

United Rentals is an equipment rental company that operates throughout the United States and Canada, and Europe. The company's general rentals segment includes the rental of construction, aerial and industrial equipment, general tools and light equipment, and related services and activities. This segment's customers include construction and industrial companies, manufacturers, utilities, municipalities and homeowners. The company's trench, power and fluid solutions segment includes the rental of construction products and related services. This segment consist of: Trench Safety region, Power and Heating, Ventilating and Air Conditioning region; and Fluid Solutions and Fluid Solutions Europe regions.

Provider
Equity Development
Equity Development

​Equity Development enables companies to become better understood and supported by investors. Since our launch in 1996 we have consistently focused on helping our clients improve their communication and relationships with both existing and potential shareholders. Our clients have come from a wide variety of sectors and domiciles, are both private and quoted and range in size from micro-cap to $multi-billions. We offer free access to company research notes written by experienced analysts. These notes include detailed forecasts, financial models and a fair value. We host regular Private Investor Forums at which investors have the opportunity to hear company directors present, and to ask questions. These are free to attend. We broadcast live Webinars with company management that include active Q&A. We also make the recordings available online. We arrange face to face meetings between private investors and company management. We are active users of Twitter, commenting daily on company news, share price moves, Directors’ Dealings, Equity Development Research Notes & Events.

Analysts
Paul Hill

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