Report
Chris Wickham

Stores reopened and a positive outlook

Cake Box’s preliminary FY2020 results, released today, reconfirmed strong sales growth in FY2020 with scope for an expanded distribution footprint to deliver further sales revenue expansion in FY2021. While the Covid19 lockdown clearly disrupted franchisees’ in-store sales, Cake Box appears well placed to spring back both quickly and with a positive growth trajectory.

Current trading news looks positive. Cake Box was in a position to start re-opening its franchised stores, commencing 18th May. By the end of the month 98% of its stores were open with the added benefit that 75% of these were trading at a level of at least 90% of pre-Covid19 levels. The overall closure period – i.e. time lost to the pandemic – was around 6 weeks. While comprehensive in scope, the company’s safety measures were implemented for an immaterial cost. Importantly, its stores were open in advance of the end of Ramadan celebrations.

Based on the company’s FY2020 figures the company trades on a trailing EV/sales ratio of 3x. We are surprised that this rating is only in line with what we deem to be its franchised food retailer peer group, given the brisk underlying sales growth at Cake Box, plus a robust balance sheet and the benefits of operating with a capital light business model.
Underlying
Cake Box Holdings

Cake Box Holdings PLC. Cake Box Holdings PLC is a United Kingdom-based franchise retailer and manufacturer of cakes. The Company operates its retail stores under the name Egg free Cake Box. It manufactures and sells personalized fresh cream and egg free cakes. The Company offers a range of cakes that include cup cakes, photo cakes, number cakes, fruit cakes, mendhi cakes, round cakes, kid's cakes, platter cakes, and wedding cakes. It provides customized cakes for purchase on demand or ordered advance in store or online through https://www.eggfreecake.co.uk/. The Company operates over 110 franchise stores in the United Kingdom.

Provider
Equity Development
Equity Development

​Equity Development enables companies to become better understood and supported by investors. Since our launch in 1996 we have consistently focused on helping our clients improve their communication and relationships with both existing and potential shareholders. Our clients have come from a wide variety of sectors and domiciles, are both private and quoted and range in size from micro-cap to $multi-billions. We offer free access to company research notes written by experienced analysts. These notes include detailed forecasts, financial models and a fair value. We host regular Private Investor Forums at which investors have the opportunity to hear company directors present, and to ask questions. These are free to attend. We broadcast live Webinars with company management that include active Q&A. We also make the recordings available online. We arrange face to face meetings between private investors and company management. We are active users of Twitter, commenting daily on company news, share price moves, Directors’ Dealings, Equity Development Research Notes & Events.

Analysts
Chris Wickham

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