Report
Chris Wickham

Interims Confirm Growth Optimism

Strix announced interim results this morning. Net revenue advanced by 1.5% to £42.9m and adjusted EBITDA by a faster 4.3% as gross and EBITDA margins both expanded: to 37.9% (37.2%) and 34.5% (33.6%) respectively. Pre-tax profit to fall by 1.9% to £11.0m but the cash position remains strong. Net debt fell by £8.0m to £37.9m as net cash from operations was positive by £15.2m: a 97% conversion rate.
Kettle controls revenue was slightly lower in the half year at 1.9%. Global category volume was strong at 6% with China returning to growth and recovering by a similar amount. Despite global category growth, Strix maintained a 38% world market share in kettle safety controls. Volumes advanced by 7.6% to 36.8m units in the period. In the USA, growth was pleasingly strong at 20%. The new U9 series of controls continued to win new business. It also drove growth in the less regulated and China market segments.
Aqua Optima nearly doubled in size in the first half (+88%) and was close to 9% of group revenue. Its reach into an additional 2,500 outlets augurs well for future growth and we look forward to seeing the impact of its launch in China in the next six months.
We continue to regard the US as an important growth story across both kettle controls and the hot water on demand category. Not only is there substantial per capita volume increase in consumption in tea, but there is also a significant opportunity for meaningful growth in single-serve coffee, illustrated on 30th August when Strix announced a coffee collaboration with a leading US consumer products company.
Strix remains well placed to match market expectations for the full year and should enjoy sustained organic sales growth in our view thereafter. Moreover, its FY2018 12.0x P/E ratio and 4.2% dividend yields appear undemanding. In our view a 200p fair value – which would imply a 14.3x P/E and a 3.5% - seems realistic as further growth opportunities continue to reveal themselves, as well as offering more than 20% upside.
Underlyings
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Strix Group is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, Co. is engaged in the designing, manufacturing and supply of kettle safety controls and other components and devices involving water heating and temperature control, steam management and water filtration. Co.'s core products are kettle safety controls, which are responsible for disconnecting the power to the heating element when either water has boiled, operated with no water present, or in some products when the kettle is lifted off its base.

Provider
Equity Development
Equity Development

​Equity Development enables companies to become better understood and supported by investors. Since our launch in 1996 we have consistently focused on helping our clients improve their communication and relationships with both existing and potential shareholders. Our clients have come from a wide variety of sectors and domiciles, are both private and quoted and range in size from micro-cap to $multi-billions. We offer free access to company research notes written by experienced analysts. These notes include detailed forecasts, financial models and a fair value. We host regular Private Investor Forums at which investors have the opportunity to hear company directors present, and to ask questions. These are free to attend. We broadcast live Webinars with company management that include active Q&A. We also make the recordings available online. We arrange face to face meetings between private investors and company management. We are active users of Twitter, commenting daily on company news, share price moves, Directors’ Dealings, Equity Development Research Notes & Events.

Analysts
Chris Wickham

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