Report
David O'Brien

Inflexion point

Driver Group is reaching an inflexion point as it looks to focus operations on the more profitable and less risky geographical regions. Following the H1 period end, management transferred 25 staff in the UAE and Malaysia and several contracts to an unnamed Counterparty in exchange for an advance payment of trade receivables (£2m) and help to collect further monies owed to the Group. As measured by adj. PBT, the interim results were in the middle of the guidance range. We think the resulting reduction in the cost base to the lowest annualised run rate since FY15 is likely to have a significantly positive impact on profitability.

Interestingly, after stripping out the net cash / share (7p) the shares are trading on just 2.9x peak earnings (FY14). Our fair value estimate is unchanged at 49p / share and based on a heavily discounted peer group valuation model.
Underlying
Driver Group

Driver Group is engaged in providing consultancy services to the engineering and construction industries. Co. is organized into three operating divisions: Europe and Americas (EuAm), Asia Pacific, Middle East and Africa (AMEA) and Initiate. In EuAm and AMEA the key service provisions are: quantity surveying, planning/programming, quantum and planning personnel, dispute avoidance/resolution, litigation support, contract administration and commercial advice/management. In Initiate the key service provisions are capital investment consultancy providing development, project and contracting management services to the infrastructure market in the U.K.

Provider
Equity Development
Equity Development

​Equity Development enables companies to become better understood and supported by investors. Since our launch in 1996 we have consistently focused on helping our clients improve their communication and relationships with both existing and potential shareholders. Our clients have come from a wide variety of sectors and domiciles, are both private and quoted and range in size from micro-cap to $multi-billions. We offer free access to company research notes written by experienced analysts. These notes include detailed forecasts, financial models and a fair value. We host regular Private Investor Forums at which investors have the opportunity to hear company directors present, and to ask questions. These are free to attend. We broadcast live Webinars with company management that include active Q&A. We also make the recordings available online. We arrange face to face meetings between private investors and company management. We are active users of Twitter, commenting daily on company news, share price moves, Directors’ Dealings, Equity Development Research Notes & Events.

Analysts
David O'Brien

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