Positive momentum picking up steam
Today’s trading update from Driver Group is optimistic, highlighting a material improvement in activity levels during Q4 and a positive start to Q1 ’22. The rise in demand for the higher-margin expert services, combined with a decline in the impact of the pandemic on decision making, a restructuring of the Middle East / APAC regions, and new offices, have resulted in renewed positive momentum. We have introduced estimates for FY21 and FY22, with the latter reflecting these strong growth drivers. Year-end net cash is expected to amount to £6.5m or 11p / share, representing 22% of the market capitalisation. The cash position reinforces our belief that the shares remain lowly valued, underpinned by our valuation models.Comparing DRV to a combination of its peers and our relatively conservative DCF model, we feel that the shares continue to be significantly undervalued, particularly in a consolidating market. Our fair value sits some 44% above the current share price, suggesting significant scope for a re-rating of DRV’s shares.
Driver Group is engaged in providing consultancy services to the engineering and construction industries. Co. is organized into three operating divisions: Europe and Americas (EuAm), Asia Pacific, Middle East and Africa (AMEA) and Initiate. In EuAm and AMEA the key service provisions are: quantity surveying, planning/programming, quantum and planning personnel, dispute avoidance/resolution, litigation support, contract administration and commercial advice/management. In Initiate the key service provisions are capital investment consultancy providing development, project and contracting management services to the infrastructure market in the U.K.
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