Positive PeproStat Data
Recently announced results from the phase II clinical trial of PeproStat were positive. As a result, the probability of PeproStat reaching the market increased from around a third to around two-thirds. This adds £12.7m to the valuation of this programme. As expected the shares saw strong performance on the back of the positive data. There remains significant upside to the bottom end of our 276p-401p valuation.Ergomed acquired Haemostatix in May 2016 for £28m (an initial £8.0m upfront, with the remainder in success-based milestone payments). Haemostatix had developed a new approach to controlling bleeding using a peptide that binds to fibrinogen, targeting a surgical market valued at c. US$2.5bn, growing at c. 6.2% pa.
The phase II trial consisted of 169 patients treated (162 evaluable) at 16 sites in five European countries. PeproStat was shown to be clinically and significantly superior to standard of care across three surgery types.
The mean time to Haemostasis was reduced by 1.55 minutes for PeproStat vs. standard of care, and favourable by investigator opinion (80.9% surgeons rated PeproStat (blinded) as good to excellent in controlling bleeding vs 59.6% for standard of care).
The first commercial deal for a Haemsotatix product was signed late September with a South Korean company, Boryung Pharmaceutical Co. Ergomed will receive an upfront payment and a series of milestone payments as well as a double-digit share of all future product sales in this territory.
Further PeproStat deals, along with the start of the next trial in H2 2018 and initial ReadyFlow data, should feature in the news flow over the next 12-18 months, along with further acquisitions to boost the profitability of the Services business.
The bottom of the 276p - 401p per share valuation is based on the more conservative “Services-only†sales forecast, discounting completely the potential upside from Development projects. The top of the range adds in these projects with the Haeomstatix programme now making up 60% of the Development valuation.
Ergomed is engaged in the provision of specialized services to the pharmaceutical industry and the development of new drugs. Co. focuses on oncology, neurology and immunology and the development of orphan drugs. Co. is building a portfolio of co-development partnerships with pharmaceutical and biotech companies. Co. has two business segments: clinical research services, which provides clinical development services to clients ranging from pharmaceutical companies to small and mid-sized drug development companies; and drug safety and medical information services, which includes Co.'s subsidiary, PrimeVigilance Limited, a pharmacovigilance and medical information services company.
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