Moving in the right direction
Hunting’s AGM update says that FY25 has started well and our expectation of growth in all 3 estimate years is unchanged. Its share price has been hit by wider market sentiment; its valuation looks attractive against a range of comparator benchmarks. After strong group progress in FY24 (with revenues and EBITDA norm ahead by 13% and 23% y-o-y respectively). Further revenue growth and margin expansion up c. 200bp to 14% in Q1 has driven a 34% EBITDA uplift (to U$38.7m).After the FY24 results announcement, we re-balanced estimates (lowering FY25E EBITDA and raising FY26E by similar mid, single-digit percentages) chiefly to reflect expected phasing of the next larger OCTG orders. While remaining vigilant to potential secondary effects, management is continuing to focus on executing its 2030 strategy, targeting a significant uplift in group profitability over this period.
After a good start to the year, Hunting’s share price is now down c.11% YTD versus +1% for the FTSE All-Share Index. As a result the company is trading on discounts to peers, our central DCF analysis, and the company’s last published NAV.
Using a blended current year peer rating and DCF approach suggests a fair value of 347p per share.
Hunting is a holding company. Co.'s segments are: Hunting Titan, which provides perforating products; U.S, which supplies connections, oil country tubular goods (OCTG), drilling tools, subsea equipment, and intervention tools, among others, for the U.S. and overseas markets; Canada, which manufactures connections and accessories for operators in Canada; Europe, which supplies OCTG and well intervention equipment to operators in the North Sea; Asia Pacific, which manufactures connections and OCTG supply; Middle East, Africa and Other, which sells intervention tools in the Middle East and Africa; and Exploration and Production, which comprises its exploration and production activities.
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