Report

Steady as she goes

KBC is a leading independent provider of simulation software (70% of FY14 profits) and consultancy (30%) to the oil/gas sector. Its sophisticated technology enables customers to optimise their capital and operational spend - effectively allowing them to get more 'bang for their buck'. Oil and gas is a tough place to be at the moment, but there are still pockets of strength which are helping KBC to not only keep its head well above water, but also deliver 10% growth in adjusted PBTA this year. In the Middle East the company has already secured £9m+ of contracts in 2015, including major awards to support NOCs. In downstream refining (~90% of 2014 sales) US Gulf Coast crack spreads (ie indicating gross margins) are bumping up towards their 5 year highs. And, whenever clients need to improve efficiency, KBC's proprietary technology enables them to materially reduce capital and operational spend. At today's AGM the Chairman will say that market focus and proactive cost control 'give the Board confidence that KBC will meet its expectations for 2015.' We make no change to our forecasts and 162p/share price target. Currently, at 110p/share, the stock trades at an undeserved discount to other smallcap IT peers and the wider oilfield services sector.
Underlying
KBC Group N.V.

KBC Group is a bank-insurance group engaged in providing products and services mainly to retail, private banking, SME and mid-cap clients. Co. focuses on its primary markets of Belgium, the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Hungary and Bulgaria. Co. is also present in Ireland and, to a limited extent, in several other countries to support corporate clients from its primary markets. Co.'s main brands are KBC and CBC in Belgium, CSOB in Czech Republic and Slovakia, K&H in Hungary, CIBANK and DZI Insurance in Bulgaria, and KBC Bank Ireland in Ireland. As of Dec 31 2014, Co. had 1,601 bank branches. In addition, Co. had total assets of Euro245.17 billion.

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Equity Development
Equity Development

​Equity Development enables companies to become better understood and supported by investors. Since our launch in 1996 we have consistently focused on helping our clients improve their communication and relationships with both existing and potential shareholders. Our clients have come from a wide variety of sectors and domiciles, are both private and quoted and range in size from micro-cap to $multi-billions. We offer free access to company research notes written by experienced analysts. These notes include detailed forecasts, financial models and a fair value. We host regular Private Investor Forums at which investors have the opportunity to hear company directors present, and to ask questions. These are free to attend. We broadcast live Webinars with company management that include active Q&A. We also make the recordings available online. We arrange face to face meetings between private investors and company management. We are active users of Twitter, commenting daily on company news, share price moves, Directors’ Dealings, Equity Development Research Notes & Events.

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