Report

Through the eye of the Covid storm

‘What doesn’t kill you makes you stronger’. Ditto for radiation detection expert Kromek, which was hit by a ‘perfect storm’ in the Spring, after the pandemic forced hospitals to postpone operations, borders to close and governments to impose national lockdowns. FY20 was impacted by the coronavirus as site/hospital access was restricted, and further suffered from a one-off £13.1m debtor/AROC impairment. All told, reporting turnover down -9.6% LFL to £13.1m (vs £14.5m LY), gross margins of 47.3% (57.2%) & EBITDA (pre SBPs) at -£0.4m (£2.0m). Nonetheless, client activity (re RFPs) has recently started to improve, with Medical Imaging coming back first (Europe & US), followed by Nuclear Security (government contracts), and lastly Airport Screening, which is on a slightly longer timeline reflecting continued modest passenger traffic. In addition, Kromek has cut costs/capex and crucially renegotiated its banking covenants with HSBC. Such that going forward the group believes it has sufficient liquidity – ie £9.4m as at April 2020, including £3.8m of net cash vs £16.4m LY - to fund itself until at least March 2022. Fundamentals remain intact, as evidenced by [we understand] only a handful contracts being cancelled - leaving the backlog (including commercial call-offs & development agreements) still at near record levels (ED estimate $90m) even after entirely removing the AROC agreement. Kromek continues to develop the world’s first “biothreat” detector, which is being funded by DARPA (part of the US DoD) and, assuming demand picks up in H2, the Board is ‘cautiously optimistic’ for the year ahead.
Underlyings
Kromek Group

Kromek Group is a developer of radiation detectors based on cadmium zinc telluride, providing detection and characterization capabilities within the medical imaging, nuclear detection and security screening markets. Co. designs, develops and produces x-ray and gamma-ray imaging and radiation detection products.

Oxford Instruments plc

Siemens Healthineers AG

Provider
Equity Development
Equity Development

​Equity Development enables companies to become better understood and supported by investors. Since our launch in 1996 we have consistently focused on helping our clients improve their communication and relationships with both existing and potential shareholders. Our clients have come from a wide variety of sectors and domiciles, are both private and quoted and range in size from micro-cap to $multi-billions. We offer free access to company research notes written by experienced analysts. These notes include detailed forecasts, financial models and a fair value. We host regular Private Investor Forums at which investors have the opportunity to hear company directors present, and to ask questions. These are free to attend. We broadcast live Webinars with company management that include active Q&A. We also make the recordings available online. We arrange face to face meetings between private investors and company management. We are active users of Twitter, commenting daily on company news, share price moves, Directors’ Dealings, Equity Development Research Notes & Events.

Analysts
Paul Hill

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