Report
Mike Jeremy

FY22 first half trading update: supply chain pressure

In a trading update for the half year to 30 June 2022, Mpac reports that supply chain difficulties affecting the availability of critical components has impacted on delivery lead times to customers. Mpac reiterates a strong prospective pipeline and order book, and has implemented a series of mitigating measures. Nevertheless, combined with inflationary pressure on costs, the impact on profitability leads us to reduce our outlook for FY22:
FY22E: revenue of £96m, +1.8%YoY, previously £105.0m.
FY22E EBITDA (adj.) of £6.1m, reduced from an estimated £11.6m.

Taking into account the impact of supply chain issues on near-term profitability, but cognisant of the strength and direction of underlying demand, discipline in cash management – including the potential fruits of collaboration with Freyr Battery – we adjust our fair value for Mpac shares from 660p to 485p, indicative of a FY24 EV/EBITDA multiple of 6.7x.
Underlying
Mpac Group

Mpac Group is focused on its Packaging Machinery business, Mpac Langen, which designs, precision engineers and manufactures packaging solutions, machinery and high specification automation, secondary packaging equipment and end-of-line robotics and at-line instrumentation and testing solutions as well as providing solutions including the design and integration of packaging systems.

Provider
Equity Development
Equity Development

​Equity Development enables companies to become better understood and supported by investors. Since our launch in 1996 we have consistently focused on helping our clients improve their communication and relationships with both existing and potential shareholders. Our clients have come from a wide variety of sectors and domiciles, are both private and quoted and range in size from micro-cap to $multi-billions. We offer free access to company research notes written by experienced analysts. These notes include detailed forecasts, financial models and a fair value. We host regular Private Investor Forums at which investors have the opportunity to hear company directors present, and to ask questions. These are free to attend. We broadcast live Webinars with company management that include active Q&A. We also make the recordings available online. We arrange face to face meetings between private investors and company management. We are active users of Twitter, commenting daily on company news, share price moves, Directors’ Dealings, Equity Development Research Notes & Events.

Analysts
Mike Jeremy

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