Report
David O'Brien

Record results sets up the future

MCH delivered record results, largely due to an exceptional performance from Marshall Motor Holdings (MMH) and aided by very favourable industry trends, and despite the negative after-effects of the pandemic, including semiconductor shortages and inflationary pressures. The focus on shareholder value resulted in several disposals, not least the motor retail arm and other non-core activities. The proceeds will be used to clear debt, invest in growth, and return cash to shareholders. The addition of international customers within its Aerospace division continues, with recent successes including the US Marine Corps and the Indian Air Force. The wisdom of the strategy is more apparent following the announcement of the early retirement of the RAF’s C-130J fleet.

We have generated a sum-of-the-parts valuation from our model using conservative ratings and FY25 EBITDA expectations to determine a fair value / share. The implied equity value of £290m equates to 490p per NVPO share, a 10.4% premium to the last traded price.
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Equity Development
Equity Development

​Equity Development enables companies to become better understood and supported by investors. Since our launch in 1996 we have consistently focused on helping our clients improve their communication and relationships with both existing and potential shareholders. Our clients have come from a wide variety of sectors and domiciles, are both private and quoted and range in size from micro-cap to $multi-billions. We offer free access to company research notes written by experienced analysts. These notes include detailed forecasts, financial models and a fair value. We host regular Private Investor Forums at which investors have the opportunity to hear company directors present, and to ask questions. These are free to attend. We broadcast live Webinars with company management that include active Q&A. We also make the recordings available online. We arrange face to face meetings between private investors and company management. We are active users of Twitter, commenting daily on company news, share price moves, Directors’ Dealings, Equity Development Research Notes & Events.

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David O'Brien

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