Report
Roger Leboff

Quality building rapidly

The core strategy to build two complementary divisions and income streams
looks well on track. A strong first half was driven by Legacy deals - announced
in FY18, which obtained final approval in H1 - and a £16.0m boost from
investment income (FY18: £5.0m). That is a reminder that Legacy transactions
can be very profitable, but their timing unpredictable. We believe that makes
recent rapid growth in Program Management especially important.

Contracted new Program Management business scaling rapidly

Program Management’s strong recent growth has built estimated future gross written
premiums to approaching $800m pa from contracts secured to date. That effectively
creates high-quality regular commission income, which will attain full to speed over the
next 12-18 months. That represents a steady, growing revenue base and outlook.

Interims boosted by Legacy deals completed in the period

Headline figures make good reading although specific Legacy deals are one-off boosts,
so not an indication for H2. PBT was £33.1m (H1 18 continuing: £7.8m) and basic EPS
19.2p (H1 18 continuing: 3.6p). There was a 13% increase in NTA/share to 133.2p
(H1 18: 117.6p) and a 12.5% return on tangible equity (H1 18: 6.8%).

We have marginally increased our FY19e forecast for better than expected investment
returns, although assume an H2 contribution of c £4m. Completion of Legacy deals is
also inherently tricky to predict. FY19e includes the $25m acquisition of Sandell Re, which should receive approval from the Bermuda regulator in H2. Previous acquisitions have been delayed, notably the US$80.5m Global Re deal, announced in Sep 2018, which received approval from the New York regulator in May 2019.

Further Legacy deals await approval

The Legacy division completed five new acquisitions and three reinsurances in H1. The
Program Management division launched ten new contracts in the USA and Europe. Both divisions report strong new business pipelines.

The proposed interim distribution 3.8p/share (H1 2018: 3.6p) paid from capital, so taxfree to UK private investors; a prospective 5.8% yield based on 9.5p/share payment.
Underlying
Randall & Quilter Invest Hldgs

Randall & Quilter Investment Holdings is a holding and investment company. Through its subsidiaries, Co. acts as owners and managers of insurance companies, live and in run-off, as underwriting managers for insurers, as participators and managers of Lloyd's syndicates, as purchasers of insurance receivables and as service providers to the non-life insurance market. Co.'s has 3 segments: insurance investments which acquires and assumes legacy portfolios, insurance debt and provides capital support to Lloyd's syndicates; insurance services which provides insurance related services; and underwriting management, which provides management to Lloyd's syndicates and operates underwriting entities.

Provider
Equity Development
Equity Development

​Equity Development enables companies to become better understood and supported by investors. Since our launch in 1996 we have consistently focused on helping our clients improve their communication and relationships with both existing and potential shareholders. Our clients have come from a wide variety of sectors and domiciles, are both private and quoted and range in size from micro-cap to $multi-billions. We offer free access to company research notes written by experienced analysts. These notes include detailed forecasts, financial models and a fair value. We host regular Private Investor Forums at which investors have the opportunity to hear company directors present, and to ask questions. These are free to attend. We broadcast live Webinars with company management that include active Q&A. We also make the recordings available online. We arrange face to face meetings between private investors and company management. We are active users of Twitter, commenting daily on company news, share price moves, Directors’ Dealings, Equity Development Research Notes & Events.

Analysts
Roger Leboff

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