Report
David O'Brien

Debt-Free Reset: Proposed sale of Billi

The proposed disposal of Billi, conditional on shareholder approval, is transformational for the Group. Ahead of any movement in capital allocation, net cash would amount to c£37m on the repayment of all indebtedness. The net consideration of £107m equates to 45p/share, representing a premium to the current share price. Accordingly, we estimate the retained operating business is currently trading on EV/Sales and EV/EBITDA multiples of less than 0.7x and 3x-4x, respectively.

Strix Group has received an unsolicited approach for Billi and the proposed deal values the business at a consideration of £110m, which represents a significant uplift (2.9x) on the cash-and-debt-free price paid by Strix in early 2023 (£38m).

Should investors ratify the transaction the focus should return to the cash generative ability of Controls and the Group’s potential growth and yield attributes.

There is no change to current estimates and the outcome of the conditional proposal is uncertain. We retain our previous fair value / share at 89p. This represents a marked premium to the closing share price. With investor’s focus likely to be modified to favour growth and yield considerations, from debt-related risks, we anticipate a re-rating of the shares.
Underlying
Strix Group

Strix Group is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, Co. is engaged in the designing, manufacturing and supply of kettle safety controls and other components and devices involving water heating and temperature control, steam management and water filtration. Co.'s core products are kettle safety controls, which are responsible for disconnecting the power to the heating element when either water has boiled, operated with no water present, or in some products when the kettle is lifted off its base.

Provider
Equity Development
Equity Development

​Equity Development enables companies to become better understood and supported by investors. Since our launch in 1996 we have consistently focused on helping our clients improve their communication and relationships with both existing and potential shareholders. Our clients have come from a wide variety of sectors and domiciles, are both private and quoted and range in size from micro-cap to $multi-billions. We offer free access to company research notes written by experienced analysts. These notes include detailed forecasts, financial models and a fair value. We host regular Private Investor Forums at which investors have the opportunity to hear company directors present, and to ask questions. These are free to attend. We broadcast live Webinars with company management that include active Q&A. We also make the recordings available online. We arrange face to face meetings between private investors and company management. We are active users of Twitter, commenting daily on company news, share price moves, Directors’ Dealings, Equity Development Research Notes & Events.

Analysts
David O'Brien

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