Report
David O'Brien

Recent trading proves challenging

At the time of the interim results in September it was clear that Q3 trading had proven volatile. Unfortunately, this has continued into Q4, with the greatest weakness witnessed in the highest margin areas, compounding the impact of operational gearing. Should the share price decline further as this trading update is digested and test new lows, we feel this presents a strong medium-term opportunity. One should bear in mind that the Group owns one global brand and two premium regional brands (with a desire to distribute globally). The Group’s largest market (kettle controls) is now 20%+ below its previous sales peak in 2019.

Our new estimates (see adjustment to prior expectations on page 2) do not factor in much recovery in FY25. Notwithstanding the downgrades, the Group continues to operate comfortably within its core net debt banking covenant.

We still see material underlying worth in the global (Strix) and regional /premium (Billi/LAICA) brands but lower our current fair value in line with estimate changes to 102p / share.
Underlying
Strix Group

Strix Group is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, Co. is engaged in the designing, manufacturing and supply of kettle safety controls and other components and devices involving water heating and temperature control, steam management and water filtration. Co.'s core products are kettle safety controls, which are responsible for disconnecting the power to the heating element when either water has boiled, operated with no water present, or in some products when the kettle is lifted off its base.

Provider
Equity Development
Equity Development

​Equity Development enables companies to become better understood and supported by investors. Since our launch in 1996 we have consistently focused on helping our clients improve their communication and relationships with both existing and potential shareholders. Our clients have come from a wide variety of sectors and domiciles, are both private and quoted and range in size from micro-cap to $multi-billions. We offer free access to company research notes written by experienced analysts. These notes include detailed forecasts, financial models and a fair value. We host regular Private Investor Forums at which investors have the opportunity to hear company directors present, and to ask questions. These are free to attend. We broadcast live Webinars with company management that include active Q&A. We also make the recordings available online. We arrange face to face meetings between private investors and company management. We are active users of Twitter, commenting daily on company news, share price moves, Directors’ Dealings, Equity Development Research Notes & Events.

Analysts
David O'Brien

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