Report
Panagiotis Kladis, CFA
EUR 300.00 For Business Accounts Only

GREEK BANKS | Constructive despite headwinds

In our sector update note we adopt a conservative scenario in view of the heightened uncertainties due to the pandemic, expecting that Greek banks will face new headwinds in the next couple of years in the guise of new NPE flows; as a result we expect banks’ pre-provision profits in 2020-22 to be absorbed by loans provisions to a great extent. That said, we retain a constructive stance for the sector as we see regulatory capital remaining well above regulatory minimums, thus assigning a low probability of a capital shortfall that would lead to shareholder dilution. We also highlight the better starting point of Greek banks relative to the previous (domestic) crisis and the unprecedented support at EU and national level.

Greek banks’ risk/return profile has become attractive once again, taking into account their current low valuation (
Underlyings
Alpha Bank AE

Alpha Bank is a banking and financial services group which is based in Greece. Co. is engaged in offering a range of services including retail, SME and corporate banking, credit cards, asset management, investment banking, private banking, brokerage, leasing and factoring. Co. is also active in international financial market, with a presence in Cyprus, Romania, London, Serbia, Albania, Jersey (Channel Islands), Bulgaria, former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia and New York. Co. maintains a focus on retail banking in Greece and particularly loans to individuals and small business loans, and overall expansion in Southeastern Europe. Co.'s activities are divided into retail and wholesale banking.

Eurobank Ergasias Services & Holdings SA

Eurobank Ergasias and its subsidiaries are organized in the following reportable segments: Retail. which incorporates customer current accounts, savings, deposits and investment savings products, credit and debit cards, consumer loans, small business banking and mortgages; Corporate, which incorporates direct debit facilities, current accounts, deposits, overdrafts, loan and other credit facilities, foreign currency and derivative products; Wealth Management, which incorporates private banking services; Global and Capital Markets, which incorporates investment banking services; and International, which incorporates operations in Romania, Bulgaria, Serbia, Cyprus, Ukraine and Luxembourg.

Eurobank Ergasias Services and Holdings SA

NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE

National Bank of Greece S.A.

National Bank of Greece is a financial institution based in Greece. Co. maintains operations in the retail banking sector, with 509 branches and one premium banking branch, and 1,448 ATMs. Co. offers its customers a range of integrated financial services, including: corporate and investment banking; retail banking (including mortgage lending); leasing and factoring; stock brokerage and asset management; insurance; and real estate and consulting services. Co. is also involved in other businesses, including hotel and property management. Co. operates in Greece, U.K., South Eastern Europe which includes Bulgaria, Romania, Albania, Serbia, as well as, in Cyprus, Malta, Egypt and South Africa.

Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A.

Piraeus Bank is a banking institute. Co. and its subsidiaries provide services in the Southeastern Europe, Egypt, as well as Western European markets. Co. and its subsidiaries operate in four main business segments: Retail Banking, which includes the retail banking facilities; Corporate Banking, which includes facilities related to corporate banking; Investment Banking, which includes activities related to investment banking facilities of Co. and its subsidiaries, including investment and advisory services, underwriting services and public listings, and stock exchange services; and Asset Management and Treasury, which includes asset management facilities for clients.

Provider
Eurobank Equities
Eurobank Equities

Eurobank Equities is a Greek-based firm offering research, sales and trading services to institutional, corporate and private clients. The company is wholly owned by Eurobank, one of the 4 systemic banks in Greece.

Eurobank Equities S.A. offers a comprehensive suite of investment products—including equities, derivatives, bonds, and mutual funds—serving over 15,000 private, corporate, and institutional clients in Greece and internationally. 

The firm maintains a dominant position in the Greek capital markets, consistently ranking among the top brokers in terms of market share and is repeatedly recognised in major institutional investor surveys as one of the leading brokers and top Equity Research Providers for Greece. 

Its multi-awarded Research Division delivers timely insights and fundamental coverage on almost 40 listed companies—representing over 90% of the ATHEX’s market capitalisation and traded value.

Analysts
Panagiotis Kladis, CFA

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