reports
- Stamatios Draziotis CFA
JUMBO | Margins bruised but value unbroken; top pick
Somewhat disappointing H1, but H2 set to be better – Jumbo’s H1 results were rather disappointing, with adj. EBITDA up just 7% yoy but shaping c5% below our estimates. The disappointment stemmed from a 1.4pps yoy contraction in gross margins, contrary to our expectation for expansion and out of sync with the appreciation of the EUR vs the USD. This led to net profit of €117m, -4% yoy, or -8% vs our number, with the optics of reported numbers affected further by the tough comp due to last year’s ...
- Stamatios Draziotis CFA
JUMBO | Margins bruised but value unbroken; top pick
Somewhat disappointing H1, but H2 set to be better – Jumbo’s H1 results were rather disappointing, with adj. EBITDA up just 7% yoy but shaping c5% below our estimates. The disappointment stemmed from a 1.4pps yoy contraction in gross margins, contrary to our expectation for expansion and out of sync with the appreciation of the EUR vs the USD. This led to net profit of €117m, -4% yoy, or -8% vs our number, with the optics of reported numbers affected further by the tough comp due to last year’s ...
- Christiana Armpounioti
- Stamatios Draziotis CFA
Noval Property | Growth under construction, value still undiscovered
Revisions on project timelines; steady growth outlook intact – Noval Property (NP) delivered a solid H1’25 performance, with rental income up 11% yoy to €17.7mn and adj. EBITDA rising 17% yoy to €11.0mn, driven by indexation gains, turnover rents and new leases. Following an update to project phasing, we have slightly trimmed our forecasts to reflect later contributions of some projects, partly offset by lower operating and financing costs, leaving our near-term adj. net profit forecasts little-...
- Christiana Armpounioti
- Stamatios Draziotis CFA
Premia Properties | Built for growth, priced for caution
Growth acceleration on higher capex and capital increase firepower – Premia delivered solid H1’25 results, with gross rental income up +€8.2m yoy to €17.9mn and adj. EBITDA more than doubling to €11.2mn, reflecting the full-year contribution of 2024 property additions. Following the €40mn share capital increase in July, we have revised our forecasts to reflect the enlarged investment plan. For 2025e we now expect revenues of €35.1mn, adj. EBITDA of €23.3mn (+3% vs prior) and net income of €20.2m...
- Stamatios Draziotis CFA
OPAP | A broader game in play; scale meets complexity
Shifting narrative, rotation in progress – OPAP shares fell c15% peak to trough, after the announcement of the deal with Allwyn, before recovering partly as investors continue to digest the story (with the €19.04 cash exit also offering technical support). The pullback has been driven by a rotation in the shareholder base (as the investment case pivots from yield to growth) alongside corporate governance concerns (mostly around the preferred shares granting KKCG 85% of voting rights) & valuation...
- Stamatios Draziotis CFA
OPAP | A broader game in play; scale meets complexity
Shifting narrative, rotation in progress – OPAP shares fell c15% peak to trough, after the announcement of the deal with Allwyn, before recovering partly as investors continue to digest the story (with the €19.04 cash exit also offering technical support). The pullback has been driven by a rotation in the shareholder base (as the investment case pivots from yield to growth) alongside corporate governance concerns (mostly around the preferred shares granting KKCG 85% of voting rights) & valuation...
- Natalia Svyriadi
Coca-Cola HBC | Africa calling: The next growth frontier
Transformative $2.6bn deal with CCBA – Coca-Cola HBC announced an agreement to acquire a 75% stake in Coca-Cola Beverages Africa (CCBA) from The Coca-Cola Co. and Gutsche Family Investments for a total consideration of $2.6bn, implying a full equity value of c$3.5bn and an EV of $4.5bn including c$1bn net debt. The transaction, expected to be completed by end-2026, pending regulatory and shareholder approvals, will be funded through a mix of $1.6bn cash and c21mn new shares (5.5% of share capita...
- Natalia Svyriadi
Coca-Cola HBC | Africa calling: The next growth frontier
Transformative $2.6bn deal with CCBA – Coca-Cola HBC announced an agreement to acquire a 75% stake in Coca-Cola Beverages Africa (CCBA) from The Coca-Cola Co. and Gutsche Family Investments for a total consideration of $2.6bn, implying a full equity value of c$3.5bn and an EV of $4.5bn including c$1bn net debt. The transaction, expected to be completed by end-2026, pending regulatory and shareholder approvals, will be funded through a mix of $1.6bn cash and c21mn new shares (5.5% of share capita...
- Andreas Souvleros
- CFA
Bank of Cyprus | Tide of Dividends
From Turnaround to Top-Tier Returns – Over the past decade, Bank of Cyprus (BoC) has executed one of Europe’s most far-reaching restructurings. From NPEs peaking at 63% in 2015, the ratio has collapsed to just 1.7% in H1’25, among the cleanest in Europe, with coverage at 124%. This derisking, coupled with high-rate sensitivity during the 2022–23 tightening cycle, propelled profitability to the top of the sector: RoTE reached 21.4% in 2024 (18.4% in H1’25), well above the 14–15% Greek/periphery a...
- Andreas Souvleros
- CFA
Bank of Cyprus | Tide of Dividends
From Turnaround to Top-Tier Returns – Over the past decade, Bank of Cyprus (BoC) has executed one of Europe’s most far-reaching restructurings. From NPEs peaking at 63% in 2015, the ratio has collapsed to just 1.7% in H1’25, among the cleanest in Europe, with coverage at 124%. This derisking, coupled with high-rate sensitivity during the 2022–23 tightening cycle, propelled profitability to the top of the sector: RoTE reached 21.4% in 2024 (18.4% in H1’25), well above the 14–15% Greek/periphery a...
- Natalia Svyriadi
Lamda Development | Ellinikon in full progress; time to believe…?
Ellinikon remains a self-financed development… – Phase 1 of the Ellinikon is progressing, albeit with some delays pushing completion into 2027e-28e. The scope of Phase 1 spans c400K sqm of residential space, retail, sports, education and business facilities, as well as the refurbished marina. With €1.3bn cash proceeds by H1’25, well above the €744m capex to date, and several projects advancing through strategic partnerships, we continue to view the Ellinikon as self-funded. …with important mile...
- Natalia Svyriadi
Lamda Development | Ellinikon in full progress; time to believe…?
Ellinikon remains a self-financed development… – Phase 1 of the Ellinikon is progressing, albeit with some delays pushing completion into 2027e-28e. The scope of Phase 1 spans c400K sqm of residential space, retail, sports, education and business facilities, as well as the refurbished marina. With €1.3bn cash proceeds by H1’25, well above the €744m capex to date, and several projects advancing through strategic partnerships, we continue to view the Ellinikon as self-funded. …with important mile...
- Stamatios Draziotis CFA
OPAP | First thoughts - Allwyn deal: Brave new era; from yield to grow...
Transformative deal with Allwyn – Allwyn and OPAP have announced they have agreed to merge through an all-share combination, creating the world’s 2nd-largest listed lottery and gaming operator with a combined equity value of €16bn. The new group will retain its primary listing on the ATHEX, while pursuing a secondary listing in London or New York after completion. It will be renamed Allwyn and re-domiciled to Switzerland, aligning with Allwyn’s global headquarters. Allwyn, which already owns 51....
- Stamatios Draziotis CFA
OPAP | First thoughts - Allwyn deal: Brave new era; from yield to grow...
Transformative deal with Allwyn – Allwyn and OPAP have announced they have agreed to merge through an all-share combination, creating the world’s 2nd-largest listed lottery and gaming operator with a combined equity value of €16bn. The new group will retain its primary listing on the ATHEX, while pursuing a secondary listing in London or New York after completion. It will be renamed Allwyn and re-domiciled to Switzerland, aligning with Allwyn’s global headquarters. Allwyn, which already owns 51....
- Christiana Armpounioti
- Stamatios Draziotis CFA
BriQ Properties | From Capital Gains to Bond-Like Yield; Hold
Lower funding costs and stronger balance sheet – BriQ delivered a 50% yoy increase in H1’25 revenues, with rental income rising by €3.6m to €10.9m and adj. EBITDA up €2.8m to €9m, largely driven by ICI’s full consolidation. Net profit declined to €7.0m (vs €10.2m) mainly due to lower revaluation gains, while the average effective interest rate eased to 4.1% from 5.2% in FY’24. Looking ahead, we have updated our forecasts to factor monetary policy easing, a higher share of RRF-backed funding, and...
- Marios Bourazanis
- Stamatios Draziotis CFA
Cenergy Holdings | Charging ahead
Raising our FY’25 EBITDA estimate on strong HV delivery, MV/LV resilience and steel pipes outperformance – We raise our FY’25 forecasts for Cenergy, now expecting group adj. EBITDA at €343m (+26% yoy) by year-end (mgt guidance at €310-340m) corresponding to group adj. EBITDA margin of 16.4%. Our revised estimates primarily reflect stronger Cables margins (adj. EBITDA margin 16.5% for FY’25e vs. 15.5% prior) supported by greater feed-in of HV and new capacity across the entire core offering. We a...
- Marios Bourazanis
- Stamatios Draziotis CFA
Cenergy | Charging ahead
Raising our FY’25 EBITDA estimate on strong HV delivery, MV/LV resilience and steel pipes outperformance – We raise our FY’25 forecasts for Cenergy, now expecting group adj. EBITDA at €343m (+26% yoy) by year-end (mgt guidance at €310-340m) corresponding to group adj. EBITDA margin of 16.4%. Our revised estimates primarily reflect stronger Cables margins (adj. EBITDA margin 16.5% for FY’25e vs. 15.5% prior) supported by greater feed-in of HV and new capacity across the entire core offering. We a...
- Christiana Armpounioti
- Stamatios Draziotis CFA
Papoutsanis | Bubbling Revenues, Softer Margins, Upside on Hold
Revenue gains offset by margins; stock fairly valued; Hold – Papoutsanis has stepped up its growth profile, with strategic priorities clearly anchored around branded portfolio expansion and deeper third-party partnerships. Following on from the H1’25 results, we have raised our 2025–27e revenue forecasts by c10–13%, reflecting the ramp-up of newly secured contracts, the scaling of existing ones, and deeper market penetration in branded products. However, this sales uplift is largely offset at th...
- Natalia Svyriadi
Sarantis | Margins climb, re-rating awaits
Double digit H1’25 profitability growth… – Sarantis group grew H1’25 EBIT by 18% yoy to €38m, despite the soft +1% top line growth (€304m), as a result of the strong mix improvement and the cost initiatives. Net profit increased by 20% to €29m. Importantly, the group’s export activity grew significantly in H1’25, with sales from exports rising to c€18m (+52% yoy) and exports’ EBIT more than doubling to c€7m, mainly reflecting the strong rollout of the group’s suncare products in the U.S market. ...
- Natalia Svyriadi
Sarantis | Margins climb, re-rating awaits
Double digit H1’25 profitability growth… – Sarantis group grew H1’25 EBIT by 18% yoy to €38m, despite the soft +1% top line growth (€304m), as a result of the strong mix improvement and the cost initiatives. Net profit increased by 20% to €29m. Importantly, the group’s export activity grew significantly in H1’25, with sales from exports rising to c€18m (+52% yoy) and exports’ EBIT more than doubling to c€7m, mainly reflecting the strong rollout of the group’s suncare products in the U.S market. ...
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