Report
Mark Thomas

Non-Standard Finance Plc (NSF): Trading update: understand the accounting

NSF has issued a trading update highlighting a 4%-5% reduction in consensus estimates due to softer trading in 3Q (primarily lower loan volumes in guarantor loans, a market which has been affected by adverse press coverage) and a 6%-8% reduction associated with a step change in provisioning policy. The latter highlights yet again the importance of understanding the assumptions in provisioning. For the same arrears, a higher assumed probability of downside has increased provisions. This reflects the known cyclicality inherent in IFRS9. A downgrade is unwelcome, but it does not reflect current customer deterioration, only the Board’s cautious approach. After today’s reduction’s, we still forecast 2021 adjusted profits at 2x the level of 2018.
Underlying
Non-Standard Finance

Non-Standard Finance is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, Co. is engaged in the provision and servicing of secured and unsecured personal instalment loans.

Provider
Hardman & Co
Hardman & Co

We are a rapidly growing, innovative corporate research & consultancy business, based in London, serving the needs of both public and private companies.

Our expert team of sector analysts and market professionals collectively have over 400 years of experience.  This depth of knowledge and a reputation for integrity have built trust with investors. With effective communication and precision distribution, we help companies disseminate their investment message to interested investors, as well as advise them on strategy.

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Analysts
Mark Thomas

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