Report

Solid first year IONA sales; positive litigation update


Market Data:

Price (p): 10.0

Mkt Cap (£m): 22.8

Sector: Pharmaceuticals & Biotech

Strategy: Premaitha is using the latest DNA analysis technology for non-invasive prenatal screening (NIPT). Management is focused on the commercialisation of its flagship IONA test worldwide. This diagnostic technology could be developed and used also for the early detection of other diseases, such as cancer.

Trading update: Premaitha has announced that 2016 sales were towards the top-end of market expectations at £2.5m, most of which will be directly related to its IONA test. This suggests that the 1H:2H KPI of sales/active client was £145k:£165k. The period-end cash position was below expectations at £5.4m.

Valuation: Similar quoted companies are more mature and have considerable sales from the US market. Companies looking for access to NGS technology have paid handsome prices, again for more mature companies. Now that sellers within the Concert Party have been cleared, the share price should recover.

Risks: After receiving CE Mark for IONA, Premaitha received notification that Illumina Inc had filed patent infringement claims against the company. Although Premaitha will put up a vigorous defence and has provided £1.9m for costs, litigation is an expensive and time consuming distraction for management.

Investment summary: Premaitha has an EV of £16.2m. The IONA test is the only complete NIPT with regulatory approval in Europe. Although patent litigation is a distraction, commercial partnerships are being signed and these are driving revenue growth. Our conservative assumptions, based on signed deals only, still suggest that Premaitha will be EBITDA positive in fiscal 2018.


Underlying
Premaitha Health

Provider
Hardman & Co
Hardman & Co

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