Q1FY19 result highlights
Key positives: Lower overhead cost, decline in interest costs.
Key negatives: Volume growth below expectations, weak gross margins
Impact on financials: We have marginally reduced our earnings estimate by 2%/1% for FY19/20E and introduced FY21E earnings.
Valuations & view
After a strong end to FY18, JYL’s 1QFY19 performance was sub-optimal as volume growth was below expectations despite very weak base. Going forward, we are factoring volume led 14% revenue CAGR over FY18-21E led by improving demand scenario, innovations and share gains in key power brands. While gross margin expansion will be a challenge in the near term given the input cost inflation, judicious price hikes coupled with leverage benefit will drive operating profitability. Further, decline in interest costs led by reduction in debt will drive ahead of peers earnings growth (24% CAGR over FY18-21E). Maintain Outperformer.
IDFC Securities Ltd., a subsidiary of the Infrastructure Development Finance Company (IDFC) wherein the Government of India holds a 20% interest, is India's leading equities broker catering to most of the prominent financial institutions, both foreign and domestic investing in Indian equities. A research team of experienced and dedicated experts ensures the flow of critically investigated stock ideas and portfolio strategies for our clients. Our coverage spans across various growth sectors such as agriculture, automobiles, Consumer Goods, Technology, Healthcare, Infrastructure, Media, Power, Real Estate, Telecom, Capital Goods, Logistics, Cement amongst other sectors. Our clients value us for our strong research-led investment ideas, superior client servicing track record and exceptional execution skills.
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