Report
Peter Farren

Difficile d'étalonner le potentiel boursier - NEUTRE - OC 360CHF

La crise qui a touché l’industrie horlogère suisse a été d’une intensité sous-estimée. Elle a particulièrement touché SWATCH, modèle intégré par excellence dont la nature accentue le facteur de cyclicité. Si le cycle se retourne, l’inversion ne devrait pas être d’une ampleur comparable à la moyenne des cycles précédents. A la fois, parce que les déséquilibres nés de la crise sont longs à corriger mais aussi parce que les relais de croissance ne sont pas aussi visibles… Au-delà des atouts incontestables du BM de Swatch, nous ne pensons pas que le groupe soit en mesure de recouvrer à horizon de 2/3 ans des niveaux de marge en phase avec une configuration de haut de cycle.
Underlying
Swatch Group Ltd. Bearer

Swatch Group is active in finished watches and jewelry sector with 20 brands in all market and price brackets. In addition, Co. is engaged in the sector of watch movements and components production as well as in the electronic systems sector. Co.'s operations can be divided into two segments: Watches & Jewelry, which is engaged in the production and sale of watches and jewelry; and Electronic Systems, which is engaged in the design, production and commercialization of electronic components, sports timing activities. Co. manufactures and sells watches under the following brands, among others: Breguet, Harry Winston, Blancpain, Glashutte Original, Jaquet Droz, Leon Hatot, and Omega.

Provider
Invest Securities
Invest Securities

Since 2006, Invest Securities has become one of the leading players in investment services for funds and managers, to whom we offer a global and personalised service. Our track record differentiates us and proves our leadership in numerous promising sectors like property and growth companies.

Consisting of 13 different profiles (pharmacist, engineer, financier, etc), the DNA of our financial analysis office is value added and sector expertise. Through daily monitoring and detailed analyses of companies and sectors, we seek to provide a differentiating vision of our 120 stocks followed. Our ideas are circulated every day to nearly 1,000 professionals.

Analysts
Peter Farren

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