>Estimates lowered by close to -25%, target price cut to CHF 146, we reiterate our cautious stance on the stock, Underperform rating unchanged - In the wake of the first-half results published in July, we had adopted a scenario of a clear improvement in H2 (y-o-y growth at CER of +2% versus -10.7% reported in H1) and a sharper recovery in 2025 but persistently unfavourable trends in Greater China (1/3 of group sales in 2023) have led us to radically revise our estimat...
>Prévisions abaissées de près de 25%, OC ajusté en baisse à 146 CHF, nous réitérons notre vue prudente sur le titre, opinion Sous-performance confirmée - Dans la foulée des résultats semestriels publiés en juillet, nous avions adopté un scénario d’amélioration nette au S2 (croissance y/y tcc à +2% contre -10.7% publié au S1) et de reprise plus franche en 2025 mais la persistance de tendances très défavorables en Grande Chine (1/3 du CA groupe en 2023) nous conduit à r...
>October exports down -2.2%, luxury subsegment up 1.7% - Overall exports showing a low single-digit decline for October (YTD score now at -2.6%) cannot be perceived as a real improvement, coming after a low double-digit fall in September (-12.1%) as the number of working days was higher y-o-y last month. The luxury category has remained a visible outperformer, up 1.7%, while the three other lower-end categories have continued to suffer markedly with y-o-y falls for Oc...
>October exports down -2.2%, luxury subsegment up 1.7% - Overall exports showing a low single-digit decline for October (YTD score now at -2.6%) cannot be perceived as a real improvement, coming after a low double-digit fall in September (-12.1%) as the number of working days was higher y-o-y last month. The luxury category has remained a visible outperformer, up 1.7%, while the three other lower-end categories have continued to suffer markedly with y-o-y falls for Oc...
Comme prévu, les actions américaines ont salué la victoire de Donald Trump tandis que les bourses européennes accusaient le coup, également lestées deux jours plus tard par une nouvelle déception sur le plan de relance chinois. Nos stratégies sectorielles et paniers de valeurs Trump (long ou short) ont fonctionné, avec quelques exceptions qui peuvent être des opportunités d’investissement, à l’instar de Total Energies ou Repsol. En Europe, nous conservons notre opinion Sous-pondérer s...
As expected, US equities welcomed Donald Trump's victory, while European stock markets reacted negatively, also weighed down two days later by a further disappointment on China's stimulus plan. Our sector strategies and baskets of Trump stocks (long or short) have paid off, with a few exceptions that may provide investment opportunities, like Total Energies or Repsol. In Europe, we are maintaining our Underweight recommendation on the Basic Resources, Chemicals, Luxury Goods and Autom...
As expected, US equities welcomed Donald Trump's victory, while European stock markets reacted negatively, also weighed down two days later by a further disappointment on China's stimulus plan. Our sector strategies and baskets of Trump stocks (long or short) have paid off, with a few exceptions that may provide investment opportunities, like Total Energies or Repsol. In Europe, we are maintaining our Underweight recommendation on the Basic Resources, Chemicals, Luxury Goods and Autom...
Comme prévu, les actions américaines ont salué la victoire de Donald Trump tandis que les bourses européennes accusaient le coup, également lestées deux jours plus tard par une nouvelle déception sur le plan de relance chinois. Nos stratégies sectorielles et paniers de valeurs Trump (long ou short) ont fonctionné, avec quelques exceptions qui peuvent être des opportunités d’investissement, à l’instar de Total Energies ou Repsol. En Europe, nous conservons notre opinion Sous-pondérer s...
>Topic of the week: margin risk quantified - Growth momentum is definitely what makes luxury stocks tick. Alas, the near-term growth outlook for the industry remains hard to decipher: the normalisation in the West is well advanced but the reacceleration might look slow going for a while, at the same time China’s demand has abruptly stopped, is poised to recover but remains hostage of overall macro conditions. It is no longer a secret by now that the sector’s growth fo...
>Topic of the week: margin risk quantified - Growth momentum is definitely what makes luxury stocks tick. Alas, the near-term growth outlook for the industry remains hard to decipher: the normalisation in the West is well advanced but the reacceleration might look slow going for a while, at the same time China’s demand has abruptly stopped, is poised to recover but remains hostage of overall macro conditions. It is no longer a secret by now that the sector’s growth fo...
Springer Nature is one of the world’s leading professional publishing companies. Its highly recurring revenue base and strong market position, good FCF generation and a deleveraging balance sheet should lead to a rerating, we believe. We initiate coverage with an Outperform and a TP of €33. - ...
Springer Nature is one of the world’s leading professional publishing companies. Its highly recurring revenue base and strong market position, good FCF generation and a deleveraging balance sheet should lead to a rerating, we believe. We initiate coverage with an Outperform and a TP of €33. - ...
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