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Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+7)
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Jacob Mekhael
- Livio Luyten
- Michiel Declercq
- Thomas Couvreur
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
Wim Hoste
- Wim Hoste
Ontex Model update post profit warning
Ontex issued a severe profit warning which implies the company now expects 4Q25 adjusted EBITDA to land at € 38-43m vs a previous expectation range of € 63-68m, with the downwards revision due to intense competition from A-brands in the baby care segment. We have reduced our adjusted EBITDA forecasts for FY25-27 by between 8-10%, but still expect FY26 EBITDA to grow by c. 12% vs our new FY25 forecast, on a combination of efficiency measures, the full contribution of new contracts and (at some po...
Jacob Mekhael
- Jacob Mekhael
argenx Vyvgart phase 3 in TED stopped due to lack of efficacy
argenx announced that the phase 3 (UplighTED) studies evaluating Vyvgart subcutaneous (SC) in adults with moderate to severe thyroid eye disease (TED) will be discontinued following a pre-specified unblinded interim analysis from patients completing 24 weeks of treatment. The decision to stop the trial due to lack of efficacy in TED is disappointing, however, the company notes that its pipeline strategy anticipates attrition. Of the 2026 phase 3 readouts, TED was the only program where argenx le...
Thomas Couvreur
- Thomas Couvreur
ABN Amro NIBC, Wealth & Staff reductions drive value; target price inc...
We have reviewed our model on ABN Amro, incorporating the NIBC acquisition, the ambitious growth targets in Wealth Management and the aggressive cost savings targets, mainly driven by FTE reductions. By FY28 we see our income estimates increase by 4.3% and cost estimates decrease by 3.1%. Our new SoTP valuation points to a target price of €29 (vs €25.5), reiterating our Hold recommendation given limited upside.
Wim Lewi
- Wim Lewi
Care Property Invest Upgrade to Accumulate after rights issue and majo...
We like the pro-active nature of this deal. CPI completed a capital increase of €55.5m to finance the acquisition of 9 healthcare assets for €142.6m (announced on 3/12). The remaining €87.1m was financed by €47.1m new debt and €40m of existing debt at a low rate (2.9%). This deal will offset the overhang of the lease portfolio expiries for the next 10 years. Hence, CPI addresses a concern that has been weighing on the share price. The rights issue take-up amounted to 62.6%. We believe this is a ...
Alan Vandenberghe ... (+2)
- Alan Vandenberghe
- Thomas Couvreur
RISING INTEREST RATES: FEAR OR PRAISE? Thematic Report
Rising interest rates are becoming a hot topic, triggered by a significant uptick in US 10-year treasury yields through February and March. In this note we revisit this topic from several angles. We dig into the empirical side of what we can reasonably expect from the market as a whole when interest rates start to rise. Secondly we review our coverage, putting forward a number of impacted sectors and stocks.
BFIT
BASIC-FIT NV
SBMO SBM OFFSHORE NV
MTLS MATERIALISE ADS
EURN EURONAV NV
ABN ABN AMRO BANK NV DEPOSITARY RECEIPTS
AKA AKKA TECHNOLOGIES SE
BAR BARCO NV
PNL POSTNL NV
DIE D'IETEREN SA
SOF SOFINA SA
GIMB GIMV NV
AGFB AGFA-GEVAERT NV
ONTEX ONTEX GROUP N.V.
BREB BREDERODE S.A.
INGA ING GROEP NV
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
1PG 1-PAGE LIMITED
ADYEN ADYEN NV
XFAB X FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
SBMO SBM OFFSHORE NV
MTLS MATERIALISE ADS
EURN EURONAV NV
ABN ABN AMRO BANK NV DEPOSITARY RECEIPTS
AKA AKKA TECHNOLOGIES SE
BAR BARCO NV
PNL POSTNL NV
DIE D'IETEREN SA
SOF SOFINA SA
GIMB GIMV NV
AGFB AGFA-GEVAERT NV
ONTEX ONTEX GROUP N.V.
BREB BREDERODE S.A.
INGA ING GROEP NV
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
1PG 1-PAGE LIMITED
ADYEN ADYEN NV
XFAB X FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE