Change means volatility and markets need to become more aware that being in consensus trades has risks.
Macro Thoughts, August 30, 2018: ‘Returning from a summer break, it is easy to disregard any volatility as a reaction to reduced liquidity, yet very often August can also be a warning of potential risks to come and, within just a few months, August’s angst can become October’s trend’.
Severe moves in market volatility and yields may be considered as corrections within a trend, but trends in equity, oil, currency and commodity markets have largely been based on sentiment and expectations; therefore, each of these ‘corrections’ should not just be taken as a warning, but also as an indication that structural changes are already underway.
This Macro Thoughts report comments on market volatility, a non consensus view on one G20 central bank, a core European Bond market risking higher yields and the price of oil.
Since 2012, top tier global Hedge, Pension, Investment and Insurance Fund managers, as well as corporates and private individuals, have benefited from Macro Thoughts’ proven insight, market commentary, hedging, and investment strategies to leverage opportunities, with positive returns on over 75% of strategies, producing double digit returns for our clients over consecutive years.
Macro Thoughts is independently researched and draws on extensive macroeconomic and market experience gained in Fixed Income, Futures, Derivatives, Bond, Forex, Commodity and Equity Index markets and from strong Global Macro investment, risk taking and strategy backgrounds. Far-reaching product knowledge across asset classes enables us to consider hedging and investment strategies that reflect our expected market trends. Macro Thoughts is directed by Keith Grindlay, whose experience spans, somewhat uniquely, both the buy and sell side, having managed trading and investment desks at top tier institutions, ensuring all strategies are evaluated for risk/reward and the optimal instrument(s) for best leveraging the strategy suggested are employed.
Globally recognised for strong analytical skills, aligned with a particular aptitude for anticipating global economic events ahead of the majority of commentators, Macro Thoughts’ independent fundamental economic research and analysis and resultant strategies have a track record that assures exceptional results, with a service that surpasses the model of bank-supplied, partisan research and stands out from the general contributions on platforms that your clients and peers already have access to. The support and value offered by Macro Thoughts, delivering written research and analysis, presentations and consulting services, is backed by decades of macroeconomic and market experience and can be tailored to your specific requirements.
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