Brainard Tilts Toward the Consensus
Brainard has been the intellectual leader of the more-dovish FOMC members, those whom we have called the“show me the inflation†camp. This camp is more backward-looking and data-dependent, in part because they
are suspicious of forecast-based policy, especially about the reliability of the Phillips curve as a guide to policy.
The centrists on the Committee, while giving attention to disappointments in the inflation data, have made
policy decisions based on their forecast that inflation is headed to 2% sooner rather than later. The incoming
data are increasing .........
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