Report
Philip Gorham, CFA, FRM

PMI in a Tailspin as Market Overreacts to iQOS Demand Stabilization; Shares Finally Offer Value

Our long-standing thesis on wide-moat Philip Morris International is that iQOS, the company's market-leading heated tobacco technology, has the potential to prolong the lifespan of the tobacco industry, but that the adoption rate of the category will plateau, and that the effervescent growth expectations being priced into the stock are too optimistic. A first-quarter volume miss suggests that plateau has now been reached. The market's reaction appears extreme (the stock fell by 15% in the afterm...
Underlying
Philip Morris International Inc.

Philip Morris International is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the company is a tobacco company engaged in the manufacture and sale of cigarettes, smoke-free products and associated electronic devices and accessories, and other nicotine-containing products in markets outside the United States. The company's portfolio comprises international and local brands including Marlboro, which is complemented in the premium-price category by Parliament. The company's other international cigarette brands are Bond Street, Chesterfield, L&M, Lark and Philip Morris. The company also owns various local cigarette brands, such as Dji Sam Soe, Sampoerna A and Sampoerna U in Indonesia, and Fortune and Jackpot in the Philippines.

Provider
Morningstar
Morningstar

Morningstar, Inc. is a leading provider of independent investment research in North America, Europe, Australia, and Asia. The company offer an extensive line of products and services for individual investors, financial advisors, asset managers, and retirement plan providers and sponsors.

Morningstar provides data on approximately 530,000 investment offerings, including stocks, mutual funds, and similar vehicles, along with real-time global market data on more than 18 million equities, indexes, futures, options, commodities, and precious metals, in addition to foreign exchange and Treasury markets. Morningstar also offers investment management services through its investment advisory subsidiaries and had approximately $185 billion in assets under advisement and management as of June 30, 2016.

We have operations in 27 countries.

Analysts
Philip Gorham, CFA, FRM

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