Guangshen Sees Higher Traffic Diversion on Guangzhou-Kowloon Line; VAT Cut Positive
No-moat Guangshen Railway’s fourth-quarter operating performance signaled a 33% traffic diversion on its Guangzhou-Kowloon line, which is 10% higher than our expectation. However, the shortfall should be offset by earnings upside from a 1% value-added tax rate cut announced by Premier Li Keqiang in his annual report. Guangshen’s core operations were decent. Passenger volume on the Guangzhou-Shenzhen intercity express and long-distance lines rose 8% and 0.5%, respectively, in the fourth quarter. ...
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