Report
Damien Conover
EUR 850.00 For Business Accounts Only

Morningstar | Align's 1Q Results Show Robust Clear Aligner Growth Despite Retail Closures. See Updated Analyst Note from 25 Apr 2019

Align reported first-quarter results that mostly met our expectations. We do not anticipate any changes to our $276 fair value estimate, and our narrow moat rating is intact. Despite the company's abrupt Invisalign retail store closures, volume growth of clear aligners continued thanks to broad strength across all geographies and customer channels. Meanwhile, worldwide average selling prices for clear aligners continued to improve sequentially, but fell roughly 5% from the year-ago period.

Invisalign volume growth remained strong during the period, increasing 28.3% versus the year-ago period, driven by broad portfolio strength. Volume in the company's Americas region increased 21.8% over the year-ago period thanks to robust demand across orthodontic and general practitioner channels, while international volume increased 38.5% year over year as a result of higher utilization amid an expanding customer base. While we expect global growth of aligner cases to persist, we still contend that it will require long-term sacrifices in profitability, as evidenced by the company's roughly 210-basis-point decline year over year in clear aligner gross profit margin.

Align's scanner segment performance was robust during the quarter. Segment revenue increased by roughly 55.1% versus the year-ago period thanks to higher global unit sales, while the segment's gross margin profitability improved 440 basis points from the year-ago period because of to higher ASPs and onetime benefits from freight refunds and manufacturing efficiencies. Although we think the scanner segment will continue to grow, we still view it as a no-moat segment because we think dental scanner technology will eventually become ubiquitous and undifferentiated.
Underlying
Align Technology Inc.

Align Technology is a medical device company engaged in the design, manufacture and marketing of Invisalign? clear aligners and iTero? intraoral scanners and services for orthodontics, restorative and aesthetic dentistry. The company's segments are: Clear Aligner, which includes the Invisalign System, a method for treating malocclusion based on a proprietary computer-simulated virtual treatment plan and a series of doctor-prescribed, custom manufactured, clear plastic, removable aligners; and Scanners and Services, which includes Intraoral scanning that enables the dental practitioner to create a 3D image of the patient's teeth (digital scan) using a handheld intraoral scanner.

Provider
Morningstar
Morningstar

Morningstar, Inc. is a leading provider of independent investment research in North America, Europe, Australia, and Asia. The company offer an extensive line of products and services for individual investors, financial advisors, asset managers, and retirement plan providers and sponsors.

Morningstar provides data on approximately 530,000 investment offerings, including stocks, mutual funds, and similar vehicles, along with real-time global market data on more than 18 million equities, indexes, futures, options, commodities, and precious metals, in addition to foreign exchange and Treasury markets. Morningstar also offers investment management services through its investment advisory subsidiaries and had approximately $185 billion in assets under advisement and management as of June 30, 2016.

We have operations in 27 countries.

Analysts
Damien Conover

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