Strong Demand and Supply Disruptions Boost Iron Ore and Coking Coal, but Drivers Unlikely to Persist
Near-term tightness in the iron ore market has persisted and intensified with several developments in Brazil further restricting Vale’s supply and Cyclone Veronica interrupting Pilbara shipments. We’ve factored in a further 20 million tonne reduction in Vale’s output in 2019 and 10 million tonnes in 2020. We now expect Vale to produce 350 million tonnes in 2019 and 370 million tonnes in 2020, down from an estimated 390 million tonnes in 2018. From Rio Tinto, BHP and Fortescue, we’ve lowered our ...
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