Report
Mathew Hodge
EUR 98.48 For Business Accounts Only

False Dawn: The Bulk Commodity Mining Rally Will Prove Short-Lived

Bulk commodity miners are overvalued. Shares of iron ore and met coal miners have rallied to levels not seen since 2014, when Chinese steel demand peaked. In effect, the market appears to be extrapolating the 2016 Chinese demand growth trajectory far into the future. We’ve updated our forecasts to account for greater supply disruptions, lower Chinese supply, and higher freight and maintenance capital costs, but we expect roughly 50% downside from recent iron ore prices around USD 80 per tonne to...
Underlying
BHP Group Plc

BHP Billiton is a resources company. Co. extracts and processes minerals, oil and gas, primarily in Australia and the Americas. Co. operates four reportable segments: Petroleum, which is engaged in the exploration, development and production of oil and gas; Copper, which is engaged in the mining of copper, silver, lead, zinc, molybdenum, uranium and gold; Iron Ore, which is engaged in the mining of iron ore; and Coal, which is engaged in the mining of metallurgical coal and energy coal. Co.'s Petroleum unit comprises conventional and unconventional oil and gas assets, and includes exploration, development and production activities.

Provider
Morningstar
Morningstar

Morningstar, Inc. is a leading provider of independent investment research in North America, Europe, Australia, and Asia. The company offer an extensive line of products and services for individual investors, financial advisors, asset managers, and retirement plan providers and sponsors.

Morningstar provides data on approximately 530,000 investment offerings, including stocks, mutual funds, and similar vehicles, along with real-time global market data on more than 18 million equities, indexes, futures, options, commodities, and precious metals, in addition to foreign exchange and Treasury markets. Morningstar also offers investment management services through its investment advisory subsidiaries and had approximately $185 billion in assets under advisement and management as of June 30, 2016.

We have operations in 27 countries.

Analysts
Mathew Hodge

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