Report
John Brick, CFA
EUR 98.48 For Business Accounts Only

Dollar Tree: Progress Continues on Its Family Dollar Integration; Shares Undervalued

We continue to view narrow-moat Dollar Tree as undervalued, with 4% first-quarter revenue growth and 10 basis points of operating margin expansion to 8.3% supporting our thesis that the company is poised to continue to gain market share and synergies from its Family Dollar acquisition. We expect to keep our fair value of $92 and long-term assumptions of 5.0% top-line growth and operating margins of 9.2% on average over the next 10 years (versus fiscal 2016 at 8.2%). Shares appear undervalued at ...
Underlying
Dollar Tree Inc.

Dollar Tree is an operator of discount variety stores. The company's stores operate under the names of Dollar Tree, Family Dollar and Dollar Tree Canada. The company's segments are: Dollar Tree, which is the operator of discount variety stores providing merchandise at the fixed price point of $1.00; and Family Dollar, which operates general merchandise discount retail stores. The merchandise mix in the company's Dollar Tree stores consists of consumable merchandise, variety merchandise, and seasonal goods. The merchandise mix in the company's Family Dollar stores consists of consumable merchandise, home products, apparel and accessories merchandise, and seasonal and electronics merchandise.

Provider
Morningstar
Morningstar

Morningstar, Inc. is a leading provider of independent investment research in North America, Europe, Australia, and Asia. The company offer an extensive line of products and services for individual investors, financial advisors, asset managers, and retirement plan providers and sponsors.

Morningstar provides data on approximately 530,000 investment offerings, including stocks, mutual funds, and similar vehicles, along with real-time global market data on more than 18 million equities, indexes, futures, options, commodities, and precious metals, in addition to foreign exchange and Treasury markets. Morningstar also offers investment management services through its investment advisory subsidiaries and had approximately $185 billion in assets under advisement and management as of June 30, 2016.

We have operations in 27 countries.

Analysts
John Brick, CFA

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