Report
Richard Hilgert
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Morningstar | Wide-Moat Rated Ferrari Benefits From Substantial Pricing Power on Rich F1 Racing Heritage

We find the long-term stability of Ferrari's revenue, addressable market growth, expansive profit margin, and solid returns on invested capital throughout economic cycles to be compelling reasons to invest at the right price. However, we think Ferrari stock will regularly trade at rich, luxury goods valuation multiples. While we are not entirely averse to paying up for stocks like Ferrari that possess a wide economic moat rating and relatively stable economic profits through business cycles, we would look for opportunities to own the shares during periods when the shares are undervalued.Ferrari's heritage originates from the engineering, manufacturing, and competition racing since Enzo Ferrari founded Scuderia Ferrari in 1929 under Alfa Romeo ownership. As Enzo Ferrari said, "The Ferrari is a dream--people dream of owning this special vehicle and for most people it will remain a dream apart from those lucky few." Substantial pricing power, enabled by the brand and strategic scarcity, supports the ultra-exclusivity of Ferrari street cars. The brand's substantial pricing power also bolsters the company's ability to generate stable streams of revenue and economic returns through the business cycle.During the past 10 years, revenue growth has annually averaged 5.9% while volume growth has averaged 3.7%, demonstrating pricing power. Management's objective is to increase revenue to just under EUR 5.0 billion in 2021. If Ferrari reaches this target, annualized growth will be nearly 8% from EUR 3.4 billion reported for 2018. According to consultant Wealth-X, the forecast annual growth in population of ultra-high-net-worth individuals is 6%.While the information is not pro forma and comes from the segment reporting sections of Fiat SpA and Fiat Chrysler Automobile NV financial documents, we calculate that Ferrari's average economic profit margin (ROIC-WACC) during the past 10 years is 20 percentage points. The next three closest automakers to Ferrari's performance are Mercedes-Benz, Maserati, and Jaguar Land Rover at 14, 12, and 11 percentage points, respectively.
Underlying
Ferrari NV

Provider
Morningstar
Morningstar

Morningstar, Inc. is a leading provider of independent investment research in North America, Europe, Australia, and Asia. The company offer an extensive line of products and services for individual investors, financial advisors, asset managers, and retirement plan providers and sponsors.

Morningstar provides data on approximately 530,000 investment offerings, including stocks, mutual funds, and similar vehicles, along with real-time global market data on more than 18 million equities, indexes, futures, options, commodities, and precious metals, in addition to foreign exchange and Treasury markets. Morningstar also offers investment management services through its investment advisory subsidiaries and had approximately $185 billion in assets under advisement and management as of June 30, 2016.

We have operations in 27 countries.

Analysts
Richard Hilgert

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