Report
Jeffrey Stafford
EUR 101.80 For Business Accounts Only

First Quantum's Copper Hedges Put a Cap on Near-Term Performance; Shares Overvalued

Spot copper prices have finally turned around for First Quantum and other miners, but First Quantum will likely not fully benefit in 2017. The company has hedged 510,000 tonnes of copper (almost all of expected production) in 2017 at $2.25 per pound. We expect an average copper price of only $2.40 per pound in 2017. Prices currently sit near $2.70.
We're holding steady on our fair value estimate of CAD 5.20 per share. Our no-moat rating for the firm is intact, as is our extreme uncertainty ratin...
Underlying
First Quantum Minerals Ltd.

First Quantum Minerals is engaged in the production of copper, nickel, gold, zinc, platinum-group elements and acid, and related activities including exploration and development. Co. has operating mines located in Zambia, Australia, Finland, Turkey, Spain and Mauritania. Co. is developing the Trident project in Zambia, the Cobre Panama copper project in Panama, exploring the Haquira copper deposit in Peru and the Taca Taca copper-gold-molybdenum porphyry deposit in Argentina. Co.'s operating segments are individual mine development projects or mine operations. The Corporate and Other segment evaluates and acquires new mineral properties and includes Co.'s metal marketing division.

Provider
Morningstar
Morningstar

Morningstar, Inc. is a leading provider of independent investment research in North America, Europe, Australia, and Asia. The company offer an extensive line of products and services for individual investors, financial advisors, asset managers, and retirement plan providers and sponsors.

Morningstar provides data on approximately 530,000 investment offerings, including stocks, mutual funds, and similar vehicles, along with real-time global market data on more than 18 million equities, indexes, futures, options, commodities, and precious metals, in addition to foreign exchange and Treasury markets. Morningstar also offers investment management services through its investment advisory subsidiaries and had approximately $185 billion in assets under advisement and management as of June 30, 2016.

We have operations in 27 countries.

Analysts
Jeffrey Stafford

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