Report
Preston Caldwell

Lowering U.S. Land Drillers FVEs on Revised Rig Count Forecast; Companies Look Very Overvalued

We’re lowering our fair value estimates for U.S. land drillers, owing chiefly to a lowered midcycle forecast for the U.S. horizontal rig count (from about 800 previously to 700 now). Our Nabors fair value estimate moves to $6 per share from $6.50; that for Precision decreases to $2.25 from $3; that for Patterson to $13.25 from $13.50; and that for Helmerich & Payne to $40 from $41. Our no-moat ratings for these companies remain in place. Overall, U.S. land drillers look very overvalued, on a...
Underlying
Helmerich & Payne Inc.

Helmerich & Payne provides drilling services and technologies for oil and gas exploration and production companies. The company's contract drilling business segments are: United States Land, which operates in Colorado, Louisiana, Ohio, Oklahoma, Montana, New Mexico, North Dakota, Pennsylvania, Texas, Utah, West Virginia and Wyoming; Offshore, which operates in United States federal waters in the Gulf of Mexico; and International Land, which has rigs in Argentina, Bahrain, Colombia and United Arab Emirates. The company's drilling technology-based business segment, Helmerich & Payne Technologies, is focused on developing, promoting and commercializing technologies designed to improve the drilling operations.

Provider
Morningstar
Morningstar

Morningstar, Inc. is a leading provider of independent investment research in North America, Europe, Australia, and Asia. The company offer an extensive line of products and services for individual investors, financial advisors, asset managers, and retirement plan providers and sponsors.

Morningstar provides data on approximately 530,000 investment offerings, including stocks, mutual funds, and similar vehicles, along with real-time global market data on more than 18 million equities, indexes, futures, options, commodities, and precious metals, in addition to foreign exchange and Treasury markets. Morningstar also offers investment management services through its investment advisory subsidiaries and had approximately $185 billion in assets under advisement and management as of June 30, 2016.

We have operations in 27 countries.

Analysts
Preston Caldwell

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