Geopolitical Wild Cards Could Delay (but Not Cancel) Reckoning for Shale Producers
The market continues to underestimate the capacity of the shale industry to throw throw oil markets back into oversupply. U.S. output reached a high-water mark in November 2017 and is widely expected to keep growing. But this hasn’t prevented oil fundamentals from improving in the past 12 months, leading many to believe that the market can soak up U.S. growth indefinitely.This assumption is false, but the reckoning may not happen as quickly as we previously thought. The probability of major sup...
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