Report
David Swartz
EUR 100.00 For Business Accounts Only

Saddled With Excess Selling Space in a Crowded Market, We Maintain Our View Macy's Has No Moat

We maintain our $29.50 fair value estimate for no-moat Macy’s, based on same-store sales of negative 1% in 2020 through 2027. Macy’s has been donating apparel market share to e-commerce, discounters, and specialty stores, and we are not confident its North Star growth plan will reverse the trend. Further, we have increased our capital expenditure expectations over the next decade from our previous average of $900 million per year to $1 billion per year. We think its Bluemercury cosmetics (openin...
Underlying
Macy's Inc

Macy's is an omnichannel retail organization operating stores, websites and mobile applications under three brands (Macy's, Bloomingdale's and bluemercury) that sell merchandise, including apparel and accessories (men's, women's and children's), cosmetics, home furnishings and other consumer goods. The company's wholly-owned bank subsidiary, FDS Bank, provides certain collections, customer service and credit marketing services in respect of all credit card accounts that are owned either by Department Stores National Bank, a subsidiary of Citibank, N.A., or FDS Bank and that constitute a part of the credit programs of the company's retail operations.

Provider
Morningstar
Morningstar

Morningstar, Inc. is a leading provider of independent investment research in North America, Europe, Australia, and Asia. The company offer an extensive line of products and services for individual investors, financial advisors, asset managers, and retirement plan providers and sponsors.

Morningstar provides data on approximately 530,000 investment offerings, including stocks, mutual funds, and similar vehicles, along with real-time global market data on more than 18 million equities, indexes, futures, options, commodities, and precious metals, in addition to foreign exchange and Treasury markets. Morningstar also offers investment management services through its investment advisory subsidiaries and had approximately $185 billion in assets under advisement and management as of June 30, 2016.

We have operations in 27 countries.

Analysts
David Swartz

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