Report
Mathew Hodge
EUR 101.80 For Business Accounts Only

False Dawn: The Bulk Commodity Mining Rally Will Prove Short-Lived

Bulk commodity miners are overvalued. Shares of iron ore and met coal miners have rallied to levels not seen since 2014, when Chinese steel demand peaked. In effect, the market appears to be extrapolating the 2016 Chinese demand growth trajectory far into the future. We’ve updated our forecasts to account for greater supply disruptions, lower Chinese supply, and higher freight and maintenance capital costs, but we expect roughly 50% downside from recent iron ore prices around USD 80 per tonne to...
Underlying
Mineral Resources Limited

Mineral Resources is a provider of mining infrastructure services. These services consist of: site services, including remote mine-site accommodation services, remote power services, and aerodrome management or personnel transport; mining services, including mine scheduling and grade control, mining operations and mine site haulage, dewatering and equipment hire; plant or processing services, including crushing and mineral processing, mobile processing services, and pipeline and water solutions; transport services, including road and rail logistics, ownership of locomotives and wagons, and road transport solutions; port services, including port logistics; and commodity sales and marketing.

Provider
Morningstar
Morningstar

Morningstar, Inc. is a leading provider of independent investment research in North America, Europe, Australia, and Asia. The company offer an extensive line of products and services for individual investors, financial advisors, asset managers, and retirement plan providers and sponsors.

Morningstar provides data on approximately 530,000 investment offerings, including stocks, mutual funds, and similar vehicles, along with real-time global market data on more than 18 million equities, indexes, futures, options, commodities, and precious metals, in addition to foreign exchange and Treasury markets. Morningstar also offers investment management services through its investment advisory subsidiaries and had approximately $185 billion in assets under advisement and management as of June 30, 2016.

We have operations in 27 countries.

Analysts
Mathew Hodge

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