Rising Sun on Japanese Gaming Opportunity Is Bright; Narrow-Moat Las Vegas Sands Best Positioned
Although there remain many variables to be decided, we see around a $25 billion Japanese integrated resort, or IR, opportunity ($19 billion in gaming and $6 billion in nongaming) with roughly 20% ROIC for facilities opening in 2024, assuming no major restrictions on local gambling. In our view, narrow-moat Las Vegas Sands is best positioned to win a gaming concession in the middle of 2019, due to its track record of managing global resorts with a strong balance sheet. Our $57 fair value estimate...
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