Report
Mathew Hodge
EUR 98.48 For Business Accounts Only

False Dawn: The Bulk Commodity Mining Rally Will Prove Short-Lived

Bulk commodity miners are overvalued. Shares of iron ore and met coal miners have rallied to levels not seen since 2014, when Chinese steel demand peaked. In effect, the market appears to be extrapolating the 2016 Chinese demand growth trajectory far into the future. We’ve updated our forecasts to account for greater supply disruptions, lower Chinese supply, and higher freight and maintenance capital costs, but we expect roughly 50% downside from recent iron ore prices around USD 80 per tonne to...
Underlying
Mount Gibson Iron Ltd.

Mount Gibson Iron is a producer and exporter of iron ore. Co. is involved in the mining of hematite iron ore deposits at Koolan Island and Extension Hill, the exploration and development of hematite deposits in Western Australia and elsewhere, treasury management and the pursuit of mineral resources investments. Co. owns the Extension Hill mine in the Mount Gibson Range south east of Geraldton, and the Koolan Island mine off the Kimberley coast in the remote north-west of the State.

Provider
Morningstar
Morningstar

Morningstar, Inc. is a leading provider of independent investment research in North America, Europe, Australia, and Asia. The company offer an extensive line of products and services for individual investors, financial advisors, asset managers, and retirement plan providers and sponsors.

Morningstar provides data on approximately 530,000 investment offerings, including stocks, mutual funds, and similar vehicles, along with real-time global market data on more than 18 million equities, indexes, futures, options, commodities, and precious metals, in addition to foreign exchange and Treasury markets. Morningstar also offers investment management services through its investment advisory subsidiaries and had approximately $185 billion in assets under advisement and management as of June 30, 2016.

We have operations in 27 countries.

Analysts
Mathew Hodge

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