Report
Mathew Hodge
EUR 101.80 For Business Accounts Only

Copper Forecast Update: Prices Should Fall as Supply Rebounds and Chinese Demand Slips Post-Stimulus

We’ve raised our 2017 and 2018 copper price forecasts amid short-term supply constraints and stimulus-related demand growth in China. We now expect prices to average $2.65 per pound in 2017 (previously $2.40) and $2.40 in 2018 (previously $2.05). We upgrade our Newcrest Mining fair value estimate to AUD 21.50 per share from AUD 21.00.
We expect copper prices, which have surged in recent weeks to $2.90 per pound, to fall in the remainder of 2017 and into 2018. As the impact of Chinese credit stim...
Underlying
Newcrest Mining Limited

Newcrest Mining is engaged in the exploration, mine development, mine operations and the sale of gold and gold/copper concentrate. As of June 30 2016, Co.'s reportable operating segments were: Cadia, Australia; Telfer, Australia; Lihir, Papua New Guinea (PNG); Gosowong, Indonesia; Hidden Valley Joint Venture (JV) (50% interest), PNG; Bonikro, COte d'Ivoire; and Exploration and Other, which mainly comprises projects in the exploration, evaluation and feasibility phase and includes Wafi-Golpu JV (50% interest) in PNG, Namosi JV (70.67% interest) in Fiji, O'Callaghans in Australia and Co.'s global greenfields exploration portfolio.

Provider
Morningstar
Morningstar

Morningstar, Inc. is a leading provider of independent investment research in North America, Europe, Australia, and Asia. The company offer an extensive line of products and services for individual investors, financial advisors, asset managers, and retirement plan providers and sponsors.

Morningstar provides data on approximately 530,000 investment offerings, including stocks, mutual funds, and similar vehicles, along with real-time global market data on more than 18 million equities, indexes, futures, options, commodities, and precious metals, in addition to foreign exchange and Treasury markets. Morningstar also offers investment management services through its investment advisory subsidiaries and had approximately $185 billion in assets under advisement and management as of June 30, 2016.

We have operations in 27 countries.

Analysts
Mathew Hodge

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