Morningstar | PD Updated Forecasts and Estimates from 15 Apr 2019
Precision Drilling saw an excellent fourth quarter. Revenue improved 12% sequentially and adjusted operating margins increased to 5% from negative 3% previously, its strongest posting since the first quarter of 2015. The sequential improvement was driven chiefly by the U.S. drilling business, along with some contribution from the typical seasonal improvement in the Canadian drilling business. Our fair value estimate and no-moat rating are unchanged.U.S. drilling revenue increased 15% due to a higher rig count and higher day rates. Precision's U.S. rig count increased 4.5%, faster than the 2% increase in the overall U.S. horizontal rig count. Day rates increased 9% owing to improved contract pricing. The higher pricing also generated an increase in gross margins per rig day to $8,300 from $7,200. For the most part, leading-edge spot-market pricing has been stable, but Precision has benefited as older contracts have rolled over to higher-priced spot-market rates.
However, we think U.S. land drillers like Precision are closing in on their profitability peak. The current U.S. horizontal rig count of about 900 is way above our midcycle expectation of about 650. As industry rig counts fall in coming years, Precision's results will be pressured with declining utilization and pricing headwinds in its U.S. drilling business.
Precision Drilling is engaged in the provision of contract drilling and completion and production services primarily to oil and natural gas exploration and production companies in Canada and the United States. Co. operates two segments: Contract Drilling Services and Completion and Production Services. The Contract Drilling Services segment includes drilling rigs, directional drilling, procurement and distribution of oilfield supplies, and manufacture, sale and repair of drilling equipment. The Completion and Production Services segment includes service rigs, snubbing units, oilfield equipment rental, camp and catering services, and wastewater treatment units.
Morningstar, Inc. is a leading provider of independent investment research in North America, Europe, Australia, and Asia. The company offer an extensive line of products and services for individual investors, financial advisors, asset managers, and retirement plan providers and sponsors.
Morningstar provides data on approximately 530,000 investment offerings, including stocks, mutual funds, and similar vehicles, along with real-time global market data on more than 18 million equities, indexes, futures, options, commodities, and precious metals, in addition to foreign exchange and Treasury markets. Morningstar also offers investment management services through its investment advisory subsidiaries and had approximately $185 billion in assets under advisement and management as of June 30, 2016.
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