Report
Brett Horn
EUR 100.00 For Business Accounts Only

Progressive Is Firing on All Cylinders, but We Expect Some Mean Reversion

Progressive capped off an impressive 2018 with strong fourth-quarter numbers and generated a 25% ROE for the year. However, while we think Progressive remains a strong, narrow moat franchise, we also think that the cyclical tailwinds that the company has enjoyed over the past couple of years will wane, and there are some signs in the results that suggest this might be starting. We will maintain our $53 fair value estimate.
In response to a previous rise in claims, Progressive and the rest of the...
Underlying
Progressive Corporation

Progressive is an insurance holding company. The company's insurance subsidiaries and affiliates provide personal and commercial auto insurance, personal residential property insurance, and other insurance and related services. The company's Personal Lines segment writes insurance for personal autos and recreational and other vehicles. The Commercial Lines segment writes auto-related primary liability and physical damage insurance, and business-related general liability and property insurance, each predominately for small businesses. The company focuses on property insurance for homes, condos, manufactured homes, and renters, as well as personal umbrella insurance and primary and excess flood insurance.

Provider
Morningstar
Morningstar

Morningstar, Inc. is a leading provider of independent investment research in North America, Europe, Australia, and Asia. The company offer an extensive line of products and services for individual investors, financial advisors, asset managers, and retirement plan providers and sponsors.

Morningstar provides data on approximately 530,000 investment offerings, including stocks, mutual funds, and similar vehicles, along with real-time global market data on more than 18 million equities, indexes, futures, options, commodities, and precious metals, in addition to foreign exchange and Treasury markets. Morningstar also offers investment management services through its investment advisory subsidiaries and had approximately $185 billion in assets under advisement and management as of June 30, 2016.

We have operations in 27 countries.

Analysts
Brett Horn

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