Report
Chris Higgins
EUR 101.80 For Business Accounts Only

Return to Your Seats and Buckle Your Seatbelts: 2018 Will Be a Critical Test for American

No-moat American Airlines reported fourth-quarter and full-year results on Jan. 25 that featured revenue in line with consensus and an earnings beat. Nonetheless, jitters related to industry capacity expansion sent the shares down following earnings. We think 2018 will be a key test for American and the industry, as it represents the first year in quite some time that a network carrier (United) will dramatically increase capacity. We plan to increase our $49 fair value estimate by about $2, but ...
Underlying
American Airlines Group Inc.

American Airlines Group is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, the company's business activity is the operation of a primary network carrier, providing scheduled air transportation for passengers and cargo. The company's regional carriers provide scheduled air transportation under American Eagle. The American Eagle carriers include the company's regional carriers Envoy Aviation Group Inc., PSA Airlines, Inc. and Piedmont Airlines, Inc., as well as third-party regional carriers including Republic Airline Inc., Mesa Airlines, Inc., SkyWest Airlines, Inc. and Compass Airlines, LLC. The company's cargo division provides freight and mail services, with facilities and interline connections available across the globe.

Provider
Morningstar
Morningstar

Morningstar, Inc. is a leading provider of independent investment research in North America, Europe, Australia, and Asia. The company offer an extensive line of products and services for individual investors, financial advisors, asset managers, and retirement plan providers and sponsors.

Morningstar provides data on approximately 530,000 investment offerings, including stocks, mutual funds, and similar vehicles, along with real-time global market data on more than 18 million equities, indexes, futures, options, commodities, and precious metals, in addition to foreign exchange and Treasury markets. Morningstar also offers investment management services through its investment advisory subsidiaries and had approximately $185 billion in assets under advisement and management as of June 30, 2016.

We have operations in 27 countries.

Analysts
Chris Higgins

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