Report
Mathew Hodge
EUR 98.48 For Business Accounts Only

False Dawn: The Bulk Commodity Mining Rally Will Prove Short-Lived

Bulk commodity miners are overvalued. Shares of iron ore and met coal miners have rallied to levels not seen since 2014, when Chinese steel demand peaked. In effect, the market appears to be extrapolating the 2016 Chinese demand growth trajectory far into the future. We’ve updated our forecasts to account for greater supply disruptions, lower Chinese supply, and higher freight and maintenance capital costs, but we expect roughly 50% downside from recent iron ore prices around USD 80 per tonne to...
Underlying
Rio Tinto plc

Rio Tinto is engaged in finding, mining and processing mineral resources. Co. has four product groups: iron ore, which supplies the global seaborne iron ore trade; aluminium, which includes bauxite mines, alumina refineries, and aluminium smelters; Copper and Diamonds, which has managed operations in Australia, Canada, Mongolia and the U.S., and non-managed operations in Chile and Indonesia, with by-product including gold, silver, molybdenum and others such as sulphuric acid, rhenium, and lead carbonate; and Energy and Minerals, which comprises mining, refining and marketing operations across borates, coal, iron ore concentrate and pellets, salt, titanium dioxide and uranium sectors.

Provider
Morningstar
Morningstar

Morningstar, Inc. is a leading provider of independent investment research in North America, Europe, Australia, and Asia. The company offer an extensive line of products and services for individual investors, financial advisors, asset managers, and retirement plan providers and sponsors.

Morningstar provides data on approximately 530,000 investment offerings, including stocks, mutual funds, and similar vehicles, along with real-time global market data on more than 18 million equities, indexes, futures, options, commodities, and precious metals, in addition to foreign exchange and Treasury markets. Morningstar also offers investment management services through its investment advisory subsidiaries and had approximately $185 billion in assets under advisement and management as of June 30, 2016.

We have operations in 27 countries.

Analysts
Mathew Hodge

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