Report
Keith Schoonmaker, CFA
EUR 100.00 For Business Accounts Only

Union Pacific Pushes Out Timing to Reach OR Target; Market Frowns Despite Positive Volume and Price

Union Pacific’s shares declined when the railroad said it was unlikely to attain its stated 2019 operating ratio target. We still bake in strong OR improvement assumptions (indeed, about 100 basis points per year) but expect any decrease in our fair value resulting from updating our assumptions to incorporate this quarter’s or even this year’s delay in progress to be minor and perhaps offset by the time value of money since our last update. UP’s wide moat is intact.
Why the delay in reaching “60...
Underlying
Union Pacific Corporation

Union Pacific, through its operating subsidiary, Union Pacific Railroad Company, is a Class I railroad operating in the United States. The company's network included route miles, linking Pacific Coast and Gulf Coast ports with the Midwest and eastern United States. gateways and providing several corridors to key Mexican gateways. The company serves the western two-thirds of the country and maintains coordinated schedules with other rail carriers for the handling of freight to and from the Atlantic Coast, the Pacific Coast, the Southeast, the Southwest, Canada, and Mexico. The company's business mix includes agricultural products, energy, industrial, and premium.

Provider
Morningstar
Morningstar

Morningstar, Inc. is a leading provider of independent investment research in North America, Europe, Australia, and Asia. The company offer an extensive line of products and services for individual investors, financial advisors, asset managers, and retirement plan providers and sponsors.

Morningstar provides data on approximately 530,000 investment offerings, including stocks, mutual funds, and similar vehicles, along with real-time global market data on more than 18 million equities, indexes, futures, options, commodities, and precious metals, in addition to foreign exchange and Treasury markets. Morningstar also offers investment management services through its investment advisory subsidiaries and had approximately $185 billion in assets under advisement and management as of June 30, 2016.

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Analysts
Keith Schoonmaker, CFA

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