Report
Keith Schoonmaker, CFA
EUR 147.86 For Business Accounts Only

UP Still Produces Outstanding Operating Ratio and Free Cash Flow Margins Despite Weak Volumes

Union Pacific fourth-quarter carloads declined 3%, dropping in five of six reported freight commodities--only agriculture improved year on year (a strong 8%). The rail improved its operating ratio 1.2 basis points to 62.0% to complete the full year at 63.5%. After incorporating 2016 results and updating our near-term projections, we increased our fair value estimate by $3 per share to $113 chiefly due to lower budgeted 2017 capital expenditure and the time value of money.
Coal volume declined 9%...
Underlying
Union Pacific Corporation

Union Pacific, through its operating subsidiary, Union Pacific Railroad Company, is a Class I railroad operating in the United States. The company's network included route miles, linking Pacific Coast and Gulf Coast ports with the Midwest and eastern United States. gateways and providing several corridors to key Mexican gateways. The company serves the western two-thirds of the country and maintains coordinated schedules with other rail carriers for the handling of freight to and from the Atlantic Coast, the Pacific Coast, the Southeast, the Southwest, Canada, and Mexico. The company's business mix includes agricultural products, energy, industrial, and premium.

Provider
Morningstar
Morningstar

Morningstar, Inc. is a leading provider of independent investment research in North America, Europe, Australia, and Asia. The company offer an extensive line of products and services for individual investors, financial advisors, asset managers, and retirement plan providers and sponsors.

Morningstar provides data on approximately 530,000 investment offerings, including stocks, mutual funds, and similar vehicles, along with real-time global market data on more than 18 million equities, indexes, futures, options, commodities, and precious metals, in addition to foreign exchange and Treasury markets. Morningstar also offers investment management services through its investment advisory subsidiaries and had approximately $185 billion in assets under advisement and management as of June 30, 2016.

We have operations in 27 countries.

Analysts
Keith Schoonmaker, CFA

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