Report
Johannes Faul
EUR 98.48 For Business Accounts Only

False Dawn: The Bulk Commodity Mining Rally Will Prove Short-Lived

Bulk commodity miners are overvalued. Shares of iron ore and met coal miners have rallied to levels not seen since 2014, when Chinese steel demand peaked. In effect, the market appears to be extrapolating the 2016 Chinese demand growth trajectory far into the future. We’ve updated our forecasts to account for greater supply disruptions, lower Chinese supply, and higher freight and maintenance capital costs, but we expect roughly 50% downside from recent iron ore prices around USD 80 per tonne to...
Underlying
Wesfarmers Limited

Wesfarmers is engaged in the retailing operations including supermarkets, merchandise and department stores, fuel, liquor and convenience outlets; retailing of home improvement and outdoor living products and supply of building materials; retailing of office and technology products; coal mining and production; gas processing and distribution; industrial and safety product distribution; and chemicals and fertilisers manufacture; and investments. Co.'s retail operations includes Coles, which operates Coles Supermarkets, Coles Express, Liquorland, Vintage Cellars, First Choice Liquor, and Spirit Hotels, among others; while its departmental operations include Kmart and Target retailers.

Provider
Morningstar
Morningstar

Morningstar, Inc. is a leading provider of independent investment research in North America, Europe, Australia, and Asia. The company offer an extensive line of products and services for individual investors, financial advisors, asset managers, and retirement plan providers and sponsors.

Morningstar provides data on approximately 530,000 investment offerings, including stocks, mutual funds, and similar vehicles, along with real-time global market data on more than 18 million equities, indexes, futures, options, commodities, and precious metals, in addition to foreign exchange and Treasury markets. Morningstar also offers investment management services through its investment advisory subsidiaries and had approximately $185 billion in assets under advisement and management as of June 30, 2016.

We have operations in 27 countries.

Analysts
Johannes Faul

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