Report
Nitin Aggarwal
EUR 120.00 For Business Accounts Only

MOSL: AXIS BANK (Buy)-Well begun is half done – earnings momentum set to accelerate

Axis Bank: Well begun is half done – earnings momentum set to accelerate

(AXSB IN, Mkt Cap USD23.9b, CMP INR661, TP INR775, 17% Upside, Buy)

 

  • AXSB under the leadership of a new CEO reported highest profit in the past 11 quarters at INR16.81b. This was led by steady NII growth (+18% YoY; 3% beat), controlled opex and healthy recoveries/treasury gains (INR10b/INR3.8b).
  • NIM expanded 11bp QoQ to 3.47% (5bp contribution from one large recovery), and AXSB expects continued buoyancy as the loan book re-prices further. Fee growth improved to 16% YoY, led by a 22% YoY increase in retail fees.
  • Loan growth stood at 13% YoY (+4% QoQ), led by 20% YoY retail loan growth and 13% YoY SME loan growth. Deposit base grew 26% YoY/7% QoQ, led by 17% YoY growth in CASA deposits. Daily average CASA mix moderated to 44% (45% in 2QFY19), while mix of CASA + retail TD stood at 80% (82% in 2QFY19).
  • Fresh slippages moderated to INR37.5b (FY18 quarterly average: INR83.5b), which, coupled with healthy upgrade/recoveries/write-backs, enabled a sequential decline in the GNPL/NNPL ratios by 21bps/18bps (+47bps/-20bps YoY) to 5.8%/2.4%. PCR improved 145bp QoQ to 60.4% (75% including TWO). BB and below pool accounted for 98% of total corporate slippage and its size declined 14% QoQ to INR76.5b (1.6% of loans).
  • Other highlights: (a) AXSB disclosed its FY20-22 strategy with key vectors being (i) Growth, (ii) Profitability and (iii) Sustainability. The bank aims to deliver 18% RoE over the medium term, led by an improvement in credit cost, opex and business mix. (b) CET-1 improved to 11.77%, led by a further improvement in the RWA profile.
Underlying
Axis Bank Limited

Axis Bank is a consumer and corporate bank engaged in operations in India. Co. maintains activities in both retail and corporate banking. Co. is also active as a mutual fund in the Indian capital market. Co., through its servicing and distribution network provides a complete range of services to its investors. As of March 31, 2011, Co. operated 1,390 branches and extension counters, as well as a network of approximately 6,270 ATMs. Co. also has branches in Singapore, Hong Kong, Shanghai, the UAE, and Sri Lanka. Co. provides services in consumer and corporate banking, NRIs, Retail loans, treasury services, Capital market services and Financial Advisory services.

Provider
Motilal Oswal
Motilal Oswal

​Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd. is a reputed name in Financial Services and Online Trading with group companies providing services such as Private Wealth Management, Retail Broking and Distribution, Institutional Broking, Asset Management, Investment Banking, Private Equity, Commodity Broking, Currency Broking, Principal Strategies & Home Finance. 

Motilal Oswal Securities is a group company of Motilal Oswal Financial Service Limited which started as a stock trading company and has blossomed into well diversified firm offering a range of financial products and services. Motilal Oswal has built a reputation as the source for best stock trading company and this has taken a wealth of experience, knowledge and expertise, constantly working in tandem, over the years.

Analysts
Nitin Aggarwal

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