Aalberts/Model update/BUY

Ahead of Aalberts 3Q25 trading update (due 23 October) we update our financial 2025-27F forecasts. Aalberts interim results arrived slightly below our estimates, and end market conditions in our view have not improved in 3Q25. We lower our FY25 adjusted EBITA margin estimate to 13.5%, now in line with Aalberts' recent outlook. Our FY26 forecasts now include the acquisition Grand Venture Technologies as we expect the take-over to finalise towards the end of this year (delisting date at or around 4 November). We continue to use Aalberts' historical mid-cycle EV/EBITDA multiple of 8.1x to back ou...

AEX from 25 to 30, place your bets Our candidates for the AEX expansion

The AEX is set to expand from 25 to 30 constituents starting on 23rd September, announcement on 9th September after close. This marks a significant change since its last expansion in 1994. The new rule book was published on 22/08/25 and leaves some room for interpretation for companies that have another primary listing (WDP). We believe that WDP meets the requirement for “reference market”. The expansion will be based on Free Float Market Capitalization, with a buffer zone to manage transitions. Five companies from the AMX index (which tracks mid-cap stocks) are expected to promote to the AEX....

Aalberts reports the completion of its share buyback programme

Aalberts reports the completion of its share buyback programme Utrecht, 12 August 2025, Aalberts today reports the completion of the share buyback programme as announced on 27 February 2025, for a total amount of EUR 75 million. The repurchase of shares commenced on 28 February 2025 and completed on 04 August 2025. It is intended that the shares will be cancelled following repurchase. 51,373 of its own shares have been repurchased on 04 August 2025, for an amount of EUR 1,433,068.14, so at an average share price of EUR 27.90 Up to and including 04 August 2025, a cumulative total of 2,54...

L’économie US six mois après Liberation Day

Il y a six mois, Donald Trump révélait ses droits de douane soi-disant "réciproques". Même si tout le monde connaissait son obsession tarifaire, ce fut un choc car il n’était pas prévu une hausse si forte et générale. Les marchés d’actions ont corrigé pendant un temps et les prévisions économiques ont intégré une prime de stagflation (moins d’emploi et plus d’inflation). Aujourd’hui, les marchés sont au plus haut et l’économie US n’a pas flanché. Elle montre des facettes fort différentes. Les dépenses d’investissement des entreprises sont très dynamiques, en lien évident avec la révolution de ...

The US economy six months after Liberation Day

Six months ago, Donald Trump unveiled his so-called ‘reciprocal’ tariffs. While everyone was aware of his obsession with tariffs, it came as a shock because such a sharp and widespread increase had not been anticipated. Equity markets corrected for a while and economic forecasts incorporated a stagflation premium (lower employment and higher inflation). Today, the markets are at all-time highs and the US economy has not faltered. It is showing very different facets. Business investment spending is very dynamic, clearly linked to the AI revolution. But employment, the foundation of household in...

Oddo’s 2 Weeks Ahead_Friday 03 October 2025